Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2020–2025

Author - Alex Boisot

"A large population of young, data-hungry consumers will drive rapid growth in the demand for connectivity in SSA."

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Mobile network operators’ network expansions and LTE deployments, combined with the increasing availability of affordable devices, will result in a growing take-up of mobile data plans and increasing mobile data consumption. Operators will primarily use fixed-wireless access solutions to provide fixed broadband services, while FTTP/B roll-outs will meet the demand in the wealthiest metropolitan areas of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

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Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Key performance indicators

Region modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa

 

Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia
 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

Pay TV

Traffic

Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Mobile data traffic

 

Revenue/ARPU/ASPU

Mobile

  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Fixed

  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Voice, broadband, dedicated connections
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

ICT services

Pay TV

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