The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

The total fixed service revenue in CEE will grow with a CAGR of 0.35% from 2019 to 2024, led by increasing take-up of NGA fixed broadband services. This report examines key trends and drivers and provide comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the CEE region and for 16 individually modelled countries.

Next-generation access network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across Central and Eastern Europe

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.


<div>5.Executive summary<br /> Executive summary<br /> Worldwide trends<br /> Worldwide: the increase in fixed broadband revenue will be driven by increasing next-generation access (NGA) take-up<br /> Regional trends<br /> The fixed voice retail revenue will decline rapidly, but both fixed broadband and business services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.6%<br /> Over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband connection in 2024<br /> NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region<br /> Increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service take-up will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels<br /> The increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth<br /> Country-level trends<br /> Czech Republic: consumers will have a greater choice of fixed broadband technology following FTTP/B and 5G BFWA network expansions<br /> Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPU levels despite the high competitive pressure<br /> Russia: fixed broadband revenue will grow modestly thanks to enhancements in service quality</div>
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<div>19.Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and bundled services will help to maintain the high fixed broadband ASPU<br /> Forecast methodology and assumptions<br /> Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge<br /> Examples of forecast input drivers<br /> About the authors and Analysys Mason<br /> About the authors<br /> Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned<br /> Research from Analysys Mason<br /> Consulting from Analysys Mason</div>
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<div>List of figures:</div>
<div>
<p>Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and the rest of the world, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 9: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 10a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 10b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 11a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 11b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 12: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 13: Broadband connections by type, Czech Republic (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 14: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 15: Broadband connections by type, Poland (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 16: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 17: Broadband connections by type, Russia (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 18: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 19: Broadband connections by type, Turkey (million), 2014–2024</p>

 


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