The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.7 billion in Central and Eastern Europe by 2022, driven by large-scale next-generation access roll-out. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 14 individually modelled countries in this report.

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:
A 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
An in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
An overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
A summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE
Countries modelled individually
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Poland
Romania
Russia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Turkey
Ukraine

Detailed country commentary
Czech Republic
Poland
Russia
Turkey

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
Narrowband voice, VoBB
DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed revenue
Service, retail
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed voice traffic
Outgoing minutes, MoU

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<div>5.Executive summary</div>
<div>6.Telecoms fixed revenue will continue to grow during the next few years, driven by revenue growth from fixed network investments</div>
<div>7.Worldwide trends</div>
<div>8.Worldwide: fixed service revenue will continue to increase in the forecast period, reaching USD582 billion in 2023</div>
<div>9.Regional trends</div>
<div>10.The relatively low rate of fixed broadband household penetration means that there is potential for an increased number of connections and revenue growth<br /> Fixed services: next generation access (NGA) adoption will increase strongly over the forecast period, led by the roll-out of fibre <br /> Broadband: the number of household broadband connections will increase in all countries in CEE thanks to a better economic outlook and more NGA investments<br /> Broadband: the broadband segment is highly competitive in most CEE countries, but increased bundling will help to stabilise long-term ASPU<br /> Fixed services: fixed–mobile converged bundles and speed upgrades will help operators to maintain revenue growth</div>
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<div>15.Country-level trends</div>
<div>16.Czech Republic: investments in fixed broadband infrastructure will drive&nbsp; fixed revenue <br /> Poland: operators’ key focus will be on NGA network roll-outs and coverage upgrades<br /> Russia: operators’ mergers and acquisitions of regional players has led to greater fixed market competition<br /> Turkey: inflation will distort revenue trends, but strong operator investments in fixed, mobile and pay-TV services will drive revenue growth</div>
<div>20.Forecast methodology and assumptions</div>
<div>21.Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge<br /> Examples of forecast input drivers</div>
<div>23.About the authors and Analysys Mason</div>
<div>24.About the authors</div>
<div>25.About Analysys Mason</div>
<div>26.Research from Analysys Mason</div>
<div>27.Consulting from Analysys Mason</div>
 


List Of Figures

<p>Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and worldwide, USD (2017) billion <br /> Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 4: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 10: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 11: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 12: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023<br /> Figure 13: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2023</p>
<p>Figure 14: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2013–2023</p>
<p>Figure 15: Broadband connections by technology, Czech Republic (million), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 16: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 17: Broadband connections by technology, Poland (million), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 18: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 19: Broadband connections by technology, Russia (million), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 20: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2013–2023<br /> Figure 21: Broadband connections by technology, Turkey (million), 2013–2023</p>
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