The Fixed services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

Fixed broadband penetration in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) will grow in all modelled markets, supported by national broadband plans and competition. This report examines the trends and drivers within the fixed service market, and provides comprehensive fixed market forecasts for the region and six individual countries.
 

Fixed broadband revenue in the Middle East and North Africa will increase at a CAGR of 4.6% during the forecast period, driven by the fast adoption of NGA-based services and limited competition in the fixed segment.

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:

  • a 5-year forecast of 44 fixed KPIs for the MENA region as a whole and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.



<div>Executive summary<br />Executive summary<br />Worldwide trends<br />Worldwide: monetising high-speed internet will be needed to achieve telecoms retail revenue growth<br />Regional trends<br />MENA: the fast adoption of fixed broadband and mobile data services will help the regions telecoms operators to maintain service revenue growth<br />The increase in household broadband penetration will be boosted by NGA network roll-outs and a growing demand for fixed data connectivity<br />Broadband penetration will increase in all countries in MENA, but the gap between the most and least penetrated countries will widen<br />Increasing competitiveness will lead to a decline in ASPU, but the demand for higher-speed services and bundling will lead to fixed broadband revenue growth<br />Broadband penetration will continue to increase across the region and VDSL will become the predominant access technology by 2024<br />Country-level trends<br />Egypt: the increase in fixed broadband revenue will be the main contributor to telecoms revenue growth during the forecast period<br />Kuwait: fixed market revenue growth will be driven by the expanding fibre-optic network footprint and encouraging service take-up<br />Oman: operators will increasingly focus on monetising their NGA investments and driving service take-up as network penetration increases</div>
<div>Qatar: the demand for high-speed connectivity will drive fixed broadband revenue growth<br />Saudi Arabia: telecoms revenue will grow due to improving economic indicators and investment in fixed infrastructure<br />UAE: telecoms revenue will increase, driven mainly by the demand for high-speed broadband connections<br />Forecast methodology and assumptions<br />Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge<br />Examples of forecast input drivers<br />About the authors and Analysys Mason<br />About the authors<br />Analysys Masons consulting and research are uniquely positioned<br />Research from Analysys Mason<br />Consulting from Analysys Mason</div>
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<div><span style=""font-size: 12.16px;"">List of figures:</span></div>
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<p>Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue, by type, and total service revenue, the Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 2: Fixed service revenue by location, Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, 2014–2024<br />Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Middle East and North Africa (USD billion), 2014–2024<br />Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Middle East and North Africa (GB per month), 2014–2024<br />Figure 10: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 11: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 12: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 13: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014–2024<br />Figure 14: Broadband connections by technology, Egypt (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 15: Fixed connections by type, Egypt (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 16: Broadband connections by technology, Kuwait (thousand), 2014–2024<br />Figure 17: Fixed connections by type, Kuwait (thousand), 2014–2024<br />Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, Oman (thousand), 2014–2024<br />Figure 19: Fixed connections by type, Oman (thousand), 2013–2023<br />Figure 20: Broadband connections by technology, Qatar (thousand), 2014–2024<br />Figure 21: Fixed connections by type, Qatar (thousand), 2014–2024<br />Figure 22: Broadband connections by technology, Saudi Arabia (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 23: Fixed connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 24: Broadband connections by technology, UAE (million), 2014–2024<br />Figure 25: Fixed connections by type, UAE (million), 2014–2024</p>
 


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