The UK Food & Grocery Market 2018-2023

The UK Food & Grocery Market 2018-2023

Summary

"The UK Food & Grocery Market 2018-2023", report offers comprehensive insight and analysis of the food & grocery market (including forecasts up to 2023), the major players, the main trends, and consumer attitudes. It provides in-depth analysis of the following: the hot issues impacting the market, strategies for success, market sizes and forecasts, retailer profiles, retailer market shares, consumer data and future outlook. The report focuses on food, tobacco & e-cigarettes, alcoholic drinks, soft drinks, household products and hot drinks. Consumer data is based on our 2018 UK How Britain Shops survey, using a panel of 10,000 nationally representative consumers.

The UK food & grocery market is forecast to reach 150.9bn in 2018, with forecast growth of 15.1% between 2018-2023. Mergers and acquisitions throughout 2017 and 2018 are consolidating the market, leading to challenges for suppliers - particularly with Brexit uncertainty mounting. Online continues to grow at pace, reaching 8.3% penetration in 2018.

Scope

- The health and wellness trend is damaging volume sales across key food & grocery sub-sectors, including meat & fish and sugar & sweet products
- The discounters control 13.2% of the market, and (coupled with the rise of online specialists) threaten to further erode market share of the Big Four in the future
- Uncertainty surrounding the future of global trade relations will see food & grocery inflation peak in 2018 at 3.3%, and will remain above 3% until mid-2020
- The 65+ demographic now accounts for 23.9% of all food & grocery spending (36.1bn) - up 3.4ppts since 2016
- The main drivers of value for money, quality, price and range are crucial to consumers, with at least 75% of food & grocery shoppers rating each of these criteria seven or more out of ten for importance.
- The number of consumers who shop at least every few days has risen by 2.7ppts since last year to 46.2%, coupled by a 3.0ppts reduction in the percentage who only shop once a week.

Reasons to buy

- Understand how mergers and acquisitions are affecting the food & grocery market in 2018 to identify new potential partnerships
- Explore how the dynamics of the online grocery market are changing and view online market shares of the major grocers, allowing you to explore potential avenues of growth through e-commerce
- Identify the technological drivers behind Ocados success to understand how you can adapt your business accordingly
- Learn about the shopping differences across age groups to understand how your store portfolio needs to adapt to compensate
- Discover the reasons behind the success of the discounters, and what this will mean for other players in the market in order to better compete.

THE HOT ISSUES
Market drivers and inhibitors in food & grocery
Main issues in food & grocery :
Mergers, acquisitions and partnerships: Sainsburys and ASDA
Mergers, acquisitions and partnerships: Tesco
Price-focused retailers are experiencing the highest rates of growth
Online consolidation and the rise of the online specialists
Ocados technological prowess will result in prolific growth
Strategies for success
WHAT PEOPLE BUY
Headlines
The sector at a glance
The sector in context
Overall sector size
Overall sector growth
Category growth in food & grocery
Category dynamics: food
Food at a glance: by storage
Category dynamics: tobacco & e-cigarettes
Category dynamics: alcoholic drinks
Category dynamics: soft drinks
Category dynamics: household products
Category dynamics: hot drinks
Spend per head per age group
Online dynamics
WHERE PEOPLE BUY
Headlines
Channels of distribution - by retailer type
Market shares - overall
Market shares - online
Comparative metrics for leading retailers
Most visited retailers
Most purchased from retailers
Retailer profiles
Tesco
Sainsburys
ASDA
Morrisons
Aldi
The Co-op
Lidl
M&S
Waitrose
Ocado
Competitor dynamics
HOW & WHY PEOPLE SHOP
Headlines
Who shops and where they are located
Which categories they buy
Channels used by consumers
Store formats used by consumers
Fulfilment methods used by consumers
How frequently consumers are shopping for food & grocery
Whats important
Likelihood of recommending a retailer
Barriers to online shopping
Drivers of online shopping
METHODOLOGY
What is included
Market sizing

List Of Tables

List of Tables
Food & grocery spend by subcategory, 2018e and 2023e
Food spend by storage: 2018e, 2023e
Spend per head on food & grocery in 2018
Food & grocery channel split: 2018e, 2023e
Market share prospects out to 2019 for the top 10 players
Five year market shares for Top 10 players, 2013-2018e
Comparative metrics for leading retailers
Retailer competitor overlap for Top 10 players, 2018
Purchase penetration at subcategory level (fresh fruit and vegetables, bakery goods, household goods, soft drinks, alcohol, tobacco, other food and grocery products) by demographic, 2018
Food storage type by demographic (frozen food, ambient food, chilled food), 2018
Channel usage by demographic (instore, online, mail order), 2018
Store format usage by demographic (out-of-town, town centre, convenience), 2018
Fulfilment methods used by demographic (home delivery, click & collect, third-party pickup), 2018
What drives food & grocery purchases, by demographic, 2018
What drives food & grocery purchases, by retailer, 2018

List Of Figures

List of Figures
Demographic differences between ASDA and Sainsburys shoppers, 2018
Price proposition against growth by retailer, 2018
Percentage of online market controlled by top ten retailers, 2018
Estimated percentage points growth of online market share for retailers, 2018 - 2023e
Proportion of Ocados revenue attributed to solutions vs retail, 2013 - 2023e
Total size of the food & grocery market by category, 2018 and 2023
Food & grocery share as a percentage of total retail spending, 2013, 2018 and 2023
Overall food & grocery: size of the market 2013-2023
Overall food & grocery: growth rates 2013-2023
Category growth in food & grocery 2018-2023
Food: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Tobacco & e-cigarettes: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Alcoholic drinks: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Soft drinks: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Household products: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Hot drinks: category size and growth rates 2013-2023
Food & grocery spend per head per age group 2018-2023
Online food & grocery penetration 2013-2023
Online food & grocery size and growth rates 2013-2023
Channel splits for food & grocery 2018-2023
Market shares of top 10 food & grocery retailers, 2017, 2018e
Online market shares of top 10 food & grocery retailers, 2017, 2018e
Top 10 most visited food & grocery retailers
Top 10 most purchased from food & grocery retailers
Tesco: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
Tesco: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
Sainsburys: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
Sainsburys: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
ASDA: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
ASDA: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
Morrisons: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
Morrisons: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
Aldi: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
Aldi: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
The Co-op: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
The Co-op: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
Lidl: consumer dynamics and where else they shop,2018
Lidl: food & grocery market share, 2013-2018e
M&S: UK sales, store numbers and market share, 2018
Waitrose: UK sales, store numbers and market share, 2018
Ocado: UK sales, store numbers and market share, 2018
Food & grocery shopper penetration by demographic and region, 2018
Profile of food & grocery shoppers by demographic and region, 2018
Food & grocery shopper penetration by demographic at sub-category level, 2018
Profile of food & grocery shoppers by demographic at sub-category level, 2018
Food & grocery shopper penetration by demographic at food type level, 2018
Profile of food & grocery shoppers by demographic at food type level, 2018
Channel use (instore, online and mail order/catalogue) by demographic, 2018
Store format use (out-of-town, town centre and convenience) by demographic, 2018
Fulfilment methods (home delivery, click & collect and third-party pickup) by demographic, 2018
Frequency of food & grocery purchases by demographic, 2017, 2018
What drives food & grocery purchases, 2017,2018
What drives food & grocery purchases by demographic, 2018
What drives food & grocery purchases by retailer by demographic, 2018
Likelihood of recommending a retailer to a friend, 2018
Barriers to online shopping, 2018
Drivers of online shopping, 2018

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