The Fixed services in Latin America: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

Telecoms retail revenue in Latin America will increase by nearly 8% during the forecast period. Fixed broadband revenue will be an important driver of total telecoms retail revenue growth. We expect fixed broadband revenue to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% between 2018 and 2024. This will be driven by increased connectivity and rising fixed broadband ASPU as operators continue to invest in next-generation access roll-outs.

The increasing availability of NGA services will drive fixed broadband take-up and revenue growth.

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:

  • a 5-year forecast of 44 fixed KPIs for Latin America and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.


<div>5.Executive summary<br /> Executive summary<br /> Worldwide trends<br /> Worldwide: the fixed service revenue in Latin America will grow slightly faster than the worldwide average during the forecast period<br /> Regional trends<br /> Fixed broadband and specialist business services will be major drivers of telecoms revenue growth in the next 5 years <br /> Fixed broadband revenue will increase in Latin America as subscribers switch from DSL to more-expensive cable, fibre and BFWA services<br /> The adoption of faster technologies will drive FBB ASPU growth in most countries in Latin America except Peru and Mexico<br /> Retail revenue will grow during the forecast period, driven by expanded fixed broadband coverage and increasing specialist business revenue<br /> Country-level trends<br /> Argentina: the telecoms market is expected to change in the coming years as operators move away from DSL <br /> Brazil: fibre optic will become the main fixed broadband technology by 2024<br /> Chile: declining revenue from voice services will hamper revenue growth in the fixed segment <br /> Colombia: cable modem will become the dominant fixed broadband technology by 2024</div>
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<div>19.Mexico: fixed broadband revenue will increase, driven by an increasing NGA footprint<br /> Peru: network investments and strong demand for data will be the main drivers of the fixed market revenue growth<br /> Forecast methodology and assumptions<br /> Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge<br /> Examples of forecast input drivers<br /> About the authors and Analysys Mason<br /> About the authors<br /> Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned<br /> Research from Analysys Mason<br /> Consulting from Analysys Mason</div>
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<div>List of figures:</div>
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<p>Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue, by type, and total service revenue, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 2: Fixed service revenue, Latin America and worldwide, 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Latin America (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Latin America (million), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Latin America (USD billion), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 9: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, Latin America (GB per month), 2014–2024<br /> Figure 10: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 11: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Latin America, 2014–2024<br /> Figure 12: Broadband connections by technology, Argentina (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 13: Fixed connections by type, Argentina (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 14: Broadband connections by technology, Brazil (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 15: Fixed connections by type, Brazil (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 16: Broadband connections by technology, Chile (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 17: Fixed connections by type, Chile (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, Colombia (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 19: Fixed connections by type, Colombia (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 20: Broadband connections by technology, Mexico (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 21: Fixed connections by type, Mexico (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 22: Broadband connections by technology, Peru (million), 2014–2024</p>
<p>Figure 23: Fixed connections by type, Peru (million), 2014–2024</p>
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