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The Fixed services in Western Europe: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

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DESCRIPTION

We estimate that fixed service revenue will increase by EUR5.5 billion in Western Europe by 2022, driven mainly by increasing demand for high speed Internet connectivity. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 16 individually modelled countries in this report.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive summary

Revenue trends are improving in many countries and overall fixed revenue growth is accelerating

Worldwide trends

Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022

Regional trends

Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region

Fixed services: The FTTP/B user base will triple between 2016 and 2022, but VDSL will be the leading access technology

Broadband: User base growth and NGA price premiums will drive up revenue

Country-level trends

France: Operators investments in NGA are helping tocurb the decline in fixed broadband ARPU

Germany: Revenue will be flat as growth in superfast broadband will offset the declining fixed voice market

Italy: Investment and the growing popularity of convergent bundles will boost broadband revenue and penetration

Spain: Content investment will be crucial for future fixed revenue increase

UK: Demand for higher-quality broadband connections will fuel continued growth in ASPU

About the author and Analysys Mason

About the author

Analysys Masons consulting and research are uniquely positioned

Research from Analysys Mason

Consulting from Analysys Mason

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 20122022

Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Western Europe and worldwide, 20122022

Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Western Europe, 20122022

Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Western Europe, 20162022

Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 20162022

Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Western Europe, 20122022

Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 20122022

Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, France, 20122022

Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, France, 20122022

Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, France

Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Germany, 20122022

Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Germany, 20122022

Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Germany

Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Italy, 20122022

Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Italy, 20122022

Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Italy

Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Spain, 20122022

Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Spain, 20122022

Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Spain

Figure 20: Fixed penetration rates by service type, UK, 20122022

Figure 21: Fixed ASPU by service type, UK, 20122022

Figure 22: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, UK

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