The Fixed services in Western Europe: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

We estimate that fixed service revenue will increase by EUR5.5 billion in Western Europe by 2022, driven mainly by increasing demand for high speed Internet connectivity. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 16 individually modelled countries in this report.

Executive summary


Revenue trends are improving in many countries and overall fixed revenue growth is accelerating


Worldwide trends


Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022


Regional trends


Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region


Fixed services: The FTTP/B user base will triple between 2016 and 2022, but VDSL will be the leading access technology


Broadband: User base growth and NGA price premiums will drive up revenue


Country-level trends


France: Operators investments in NGA are helping tocurb the decline in fixed broadband ARPU


Germany: Revenue will be flat as growth in superfast broadband will offset the declining fixed voice market


Italy: Investment and the growing popularity of convergent bundles will boost broadband revenue and penetration


Spain: Content investment will be crucial for future fixed revenue increase


UK: Demand for higher-quality broadband connections will fuel continued growth in ASPU


About the author and Analysys Mason


About the author


Analysys Masons consulting and research are uniquely positioned


Research from Analysys Mason


Consulting from Analysys Mason


 


LIST OF FIGURES


Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 20122022


Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Western Europe and worldwide, 20122022


Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Western Europe, 20122022


Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Western Europe, 20162022


Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 20162022


Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Western Europe, 20122022


Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 20122022


Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, France, 20122022


Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, France, 20122022


Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, France


Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Germany, 20122022


Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Germany, 20122022


Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Germany


Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Italy, 20122022


Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Italy, 20122022


Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Italy


Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Spain, 20122022


Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Spain, 20122022


Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Spain


Figure 20: Fixed penetration rates by service type, UK, 20122022


Figure 21: Fixed ASPU by service type, UK, 20122022


Figure 22: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, UK


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