The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.7 billion in Central and Eastern Europe by 2022, driven by large-scale next-generation access roll-out. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 14 individually modelled countries in this report.

Executive summary


The recovery in overall telecoms revenue will continue during the next few years, driven by fixed network investments


Worldwide trends


Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022


Regional trends


Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region


Fixed services: NGA network deployment and increasing FBB coverage will be the focus of fixed telecoms operators


Broadband: Penetration will increase across the region, but pace of progress will vary due to economical and geographical diversity


Country-level trends


Czech Republic: Competition is driving market decline, but growth will return by 2022


Poland: Fixed network investments and a focus on service take-up will drive NGA broadband access revenue


Russia: Increasing fibre penetration and the introduction of FMC bundles will soften broadband ARPU decline


Turkey: Household FBB penetration will increase to 70% and almost half of households will have NGA access by 2022


About the author and Analysys Mason


About the author


Analysys Masons consulting and research are uniquely positioned


Research from Analysys Mason


Consulting from Analysys Mason


 


LIST OF FIGURES


Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Central and Eastern Europe, 20122022


Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe and worldwide, 20122022


Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 20122022


Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 20162022


Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 20162022


Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 20122022


Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 20122022


Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Czech Republic, 20122022


Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, Czech Republic, 20122022


Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Czech Republic


Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Poland, 20122022


Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Poland, 20122022


Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Poland


Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Russia, 20122022


Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Russia, 20122022


Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Russia


Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Turkey, 20122022


Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Turkey, 20122022


Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Turkey



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