Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q1 2021

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q1 2021

Summary

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The thirteenth update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q1 2021 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 28 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low-risk zone, 37 countries under manageable risk, 36 countries under high risk and 13 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q1 2021.

Scope

- According to the Q1 2021 GCRI update, the APAC regions overall risk score is 42.3, below that of the Americas (47.6) and the Middle East and Africa (51.5). The regions risk score increased slightly from 42.2 in Q4 2020 to 42.3 in Q1 2021.
- The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q1 2021 update of the global risk index, owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. Over the last year, European nations were able to control its spread and the risks associated with the pandemic through sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner.
- The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the GCRI Q1 2021 update, with a regional risk score of 47.6 out of 100. The whole region was battered by the COVID-19 pandemic, which worsened in many countries in the first quarter of 2021. Out of the top 15 worst affected countries, five are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
- The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2021 Q1 update, with a regional risk score of 51.5 out of 100, which is higher than 51.4 in Q4 2020 but lower than 55.6 in Q2 2020 update of GCRI. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

- Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
- The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.
Table of Contents
Global Overview - Key Highlights
Global Overview - Summary
Flashback - May 2020 to April 2021
Key Events - May 2021 to April 2022
GCRI - Country Ranking
GCRI Q1 2021 Heat Map
GCRI - Global Landscape 2021
COVID-19 - Major Risks and Recovery
Infection rates continue to rise albeit at a slower pace
Growth forecast for 2020 and 2021: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
Business and consumer sentiments trends
Oil prices rise amid slow US output recovery
Increasing deficit and debt levels in major economies with huge spending on stimulus
COVID-19 impact on the labor market
GlobalDatas economic recovery scorecard
Regional Analysis
Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
Regional Analysis - Europe
Regional Analysis - Americas
Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa
Methodology and Sources

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