Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Renewables Market 2020 - MEED Insights

Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Renewables Market 2020 - MEED Insights
 
Summary

 
The report provides a comprehensive review of the trends, opportunities and challenges in Middle East’s fast-changing renewable energy sector. Updated in April 2020 to reflect the huge disruption caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the report looks at the immediate impact of the virus on the regional energy market, and its impact on the region’s ambitious plans to develop solar, wind and waste-to-energy projects in the region. The report looks at the long-term investment plans as well as the current project opportunities planned or under development across the region.
 
Mena Renewables 2020 with Covid-19 update is the latest premium market report from MEED, the leading provider of Middle East business intelligence.
 
The report provides a comprehensive country-by-country review of the renewable energy sector across the Mena region with in-depth analysis of projected investments, policy and legislative frameworks, and the projects planned and under way.
 
It also details the key government bodies driving the development of renewables in each country.
 
Written by MEED, the Middle East market experts within the GlobalData Group, the report is a valuable asset for anyone seeking to do business in the Middle East’s energy sector that will help in shaping business development and strategy in the region.

Updated in April 2020, the report looks at the impact of Covid-19 on the renewable energy sector in the Middle East and North Africa, and what that means for business and investment in the region.
 
Middle East renewable energy ambitions face new challenges
 
The de-facto shutdown of much of the global economy in the first four months of 2020 caused by measures to stop the spread of coronavirus (Covid-19) is challenging many of the drivers of business growth and investment in the Middle East and North Africa. The collapse of oil prices and fall in tourism and consumer spending has raised deep questions about some of the region’s highest growth sectors.
 
One sector that shows no sign of disappearing is renewables. While the supply chain for projects has been disrupted, and the commercial model for privately finance power plants has been upset, the region remains committed to diversifying is energy sources and lowering its costs through renewables.
 
With about 28GW of renewable energy production capacity installed across the Middle East and North Africa (Mena), of which by far the biggest component is hydropower with 21GW, renewable energy represents only 7 per cent of the region’s power generation capacity. But with electricity demand rising at about 5 per cent a year, and with a shortage of readily available natural gas supplies, expanding renewables capacity is now one of the top policy priorities for governments in the region.
 
Boosted by falling technology costs and the drive to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, most countries are planning and procuring solar and wind projects. Across the region, governments have set ambitious clean energy targets, with Dubai the most aggressive, aiming for 75 per cent of its energy to come from clean sources by 2050. At the start of 2020, about 98GW of new renewable energy generation capacity was planned across the region, with 39GW of additional capacity due to come on stream by 2025.
 
The latest edition of Abu Dhabi’s World Future Energy Summit (WFES) in January 2020, highlighted the strides that have been taken in the region, and particularly by the UAE, to play a leading role in the transition from unsustainable carbon-production to sustainable renewable energy.
 
Completion of the GCC’s first utility-scale renewables projects has increased confidence among governments, developers and financiers. This has reduced the cost of financing and delivering projects. The market also expects greater adoption of small and medium-scale schemes such as rooftop solar.
 
At present, it is countries with hydropower capabilities that have the highest renewables capacity. The landscape is changing rapidly however as a series of large-scale solar and wind projects are being delivered. But as renewables move from the fringes to the centre of the region’s energy eco-system, regulators, investors and consumers must overcome several structural and technical obstacles.
 
Regulatory reform is the biggest challenge facing renewables. Merging renewable energy, primarily photovoltaic solar power, into power grids requires policy adjustments and new regulations. This includes ensuring grid flexibility and stability, integrating new technologies such as battery-storage and electric vehicles, and establishing commercially-attractive business models. Another challenge is to break the link between electricity and water production that is hard-coded into the region’s utilities.
 
 Reasons to Buy
 
 - Detailed assessment of the long term opportunities for business and projects in the Middle East’s renewable energy sector
 - Comprehensive review of the impact of Covid-19 on the energy sector
 - Outlook for renewable energy policy and investment
 - The report covers all sources of renewable energy including solar, wind, hydro-electric and waste-to-energy, as well as alternative fuels
 - Projects opportunities with client and procurement details
 - Investment drivers and client spending plans
 - Understand risks and set strategy in the renewable energy sector
 - Complete assessment of the outlook for the solar, wind and other renewable energy sources across the Middle East and North Africa
 - Detailed analysis of sustainable energy strategies and renewables projects in 14 markets across the Middle East and North Africa

 1. Covid-19 and Low Oil Prices Impact Analysis
 1.1 Demand
 1.2 Supply
 1.3 Localisation boost
 1.4 Overall outlook
 2. Introduction
 2.1 Targets
 2.2 Drivers
 2.3 Technology costs
 2.4 Economic growth
 2.5 Financing models
 2.6 Other initiatives
 3. Technology
 3.1 Solar
 3.2 Wind
 3.3 Cost of renewables
 3.4 Waste-to-energy
 3.5 Energy storage and grid integration
 3.6 Digitalisation and smart grids
 4. Algeria
 4.1 Overview
 4.2 Structure
 4.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 4.4 Renewable energy policy
 4.5 Projects
 4.6 Key contacts
 5. Bahrain
 5.1 Overview
 5.2 Structure
 5.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 5.4 Renewable energy policy
 5.5 Projects
 5.6 Key contacts
 6. Egypt
 6.1 Overview
 6.2 Structure
 6.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 6.4 Renewable energy policy
 6.5 Projects
 6.6 Key contacts
 7. Iran
 7.1 Overview
 7.2 Structure
 7.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 7.4 Renewable energy policy
 7.5 Projects
 7.6 Key contacts
 8. Iraq
 8.1 Overview
 8.2 Structure
 8.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 8.4 Renewable energy policy
 8.5 KRG region
 8.6 Projects
 9.9 Key contacts
 9. Jordan
 9.1 Overview
 9.2 Structure
 9.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 9.4 Renewable energy policy
 9.5 Projects
 9.6 Key contacts
 10. Kuwait
 10.1 Overview
 10.2 Structure
 10.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 10.4 Renewable energy policy
 10.5 Projects
 10.6 Key contacts
 11. Morocco
 11.1 Overview
 11.2 Industry structure
 11.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 11.4 Renewable energy policy
 11.5 Projects
 11.6 Key contacts
 12. Oman
 12.1 Overview
 12.2 Structure
 12.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 12.4 Renewable energy policy
 12.5 Projects
 12.6 Key contacts
 13. Qatar
 13.1 Overview
 13.2 Structure
 13.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 13.4 Renewable energy policy
 13.5 Projects
 13.6 Key contacts
 14. Saudi Arabia
 14.1 Overview
 14.2 Structure
 14.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 14.4 Renewable energy policy
 14.5 Projects
 14.6 Key contacts
 15. Tunisia
 15.1 Overview
 15.2 Structure
 15.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 15.4 Renewable energy policy
 15.5 Projects
 15.6 Key contacts
 16. UAE
 16.1 Market overview
 16.2 Structure
 16.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 16.4 Renewable energy policy
 16.5 Abu Dhabi
 16.6 Dubai
 16.7 Northern Emirates
 16.8 Key contacts
 17. Other Markets - Syria
 17.1 Overview
 17.2 Structure
 17.3 Renewable capacity and generation
 17.4 Renewable energy policy
 17.5 Projects
 17.6 Key contacts
 Disclaimer
  


List Of Tables

 Table 1: Key renewable energy related facts in Middle East and North Africa (Mena), 2018
 Table 2: Renewable capacity and power generation in the Mena region, 2018-2025
 Table 3: Major CSP projects in the Mena region ($m), 2019*
 Table 4: Integrated solar combined cycle projects in the Mena region ($m), 2019
 Table 5: Wind projects in the Mena region in the pre-execution phase ($m), 2019*
 Table 6: Top 10 waste-to-energy projects in the Mena region ($m), 2019*
 Table 7: Algeria power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 8: Algeria planned capacity increases by fuel type (MW), 2015-30
 Table 9: Algeria key contacts
 Table 10: Bahrain power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 11: Bahrain renewable power generation projects, 2019*
 Table 12: Bahrain key contacts
 Table 13: Egypt power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 14: Egypt, renewable energy supporting policies, laws, and regulations
 Table 15: Renewable energy schemes by institutions in Egypt
 Table 16: Solar FITs
 Table 17: Wind FITs
 Table 18: Egypt round II solar FIT tariffs ($c/kWh)
 Table 19: Egypt round II wind FIT tariffs ($c/kWh)
 Table 20: EBRD backed projects, round 2 FIT
 Table 21: IFC-backed projects, Egypt FIT round 2
 Table 22: Planned merchant IPP renewables projects up to 2022
 Table 23: Solar power projects in Egypt ($m) under execution, 2019*
 Table 24: Upcoming solar power projects in Egypt ($m), 2019*
 Table 25: Wind power projects in Egypt ($m) under execution, 2019*
 Table 26: Upcoming wind power projects in Egypt ($m), 2019*
 Table 27: Egypt key contacts
 Table 28: Iran power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 29: Renewable energy capacity from solar PV, wind, and small hydropower (MW), 2010-2018
 Table 30: Iran electricity production by fuel type (% of total), 2000-2018
 Table 31: Installed renewable energy power capacity (MW) up to the end of December 2019 in Iran
 Table 32: Companies with renewable and clean power purchase agreements at the end of December 2019 in Iran
 Table 33: Renewables FIT rates, October 2019
 Table 34: Iran, renewable energy projects under execution, 2019*
 Table 35: Iran, renewable energy projects in pre-execution phase, 2019*
 Table 36: Iran key contacts
 Table 37: Iraq power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 38: Iraq, renewable power projects ($m), 2019*
 Table 39: Iraq power sector key contacts
 Table 40: Jordan power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 41: Available capacity of generating plants (MW)
 Table 42: Jordan’s Cegco installed capacity by plant
 Table 43: Sepco installed capacity, 2010-17
 Table 44: Jordan’s renewable energy tariffs
 Table 45: Renewable power projects under execution
 Table 46: Renewable power projects, planned
 Table 47: Jordan key contacts
 Table 48: Kuwait power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 49: Existing power plants
 Table 50: Kisr planned renewable programme
 Table 51: Small-scale solar schemes in Kuwait
 Table 52: Kuwait renewable sector key contacts
 Table 53: Morocco power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 54: Morocco key contacts
 Table 55: Oman power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 56: Renewable Energy Development Plan - MIS/Duqm (MW), 2018-2024
 Table 57: Renewable power projects under execution
 Table 58: Renewable power projects, planned
 Table 59: Oman key contacts
 Table 60: Qatar power and renewables sector key facts, 2018
 Table 61: Renewable power projects, planned
 Table 62: Qatar key contacts
  


List Of Figures

 Figure 1: GCC countries renewable energy targets
 Figure 2: LCOE of different forms of technology ($/MWh)
 Figure 3: Untapped potential of renewable energy sources by region
 Figure 4: PV technologies
 Figure 5: Efficiency of solar cells in laboratory tests
 Figure 6: Market share of thin film technologies (per cent of global PV production), 2000-2017
 Figure 7: Annual global PV module production for thin film technologies, 2000-2017
 Figure 8: Global PV Module production by region (GWp), 2010-2017
 Figure 9: Projected growth of CSP generated electricity (TWh a year), 2010-2050
 Figure 10: The Ain Beni Mathar ISCC
 Figure 11: Configuration of a wind turbine
 Figure 12: Indexed average cost of onshore wind and utility-scale solar PV
 Figure 13: Forecasted battery storage dedicated to the power sector by region (GWh)
 Figure 14: Oil fields in the Divided Zone
 Figure 15: Algeria installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-2025
 Figure 16: Algeria installed renewable capacity by fuel type (per cent), 2015-2020 (Phase 1)
 Figure 17: Algeria installed renewable capacity by fuel type (per cent), 2021-2030 (Phase 2)
 Figure 18: Algeria annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 19: Bahrain installed renewable capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 20: Bahrain annual renewable power generation by fuel type (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 21: Awarded renewable energy power projects, 2010-2019* ($m)
 Figure 22: Structure of the Egyptian electricity sector
 Figure 23: Egypt installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-2025
 Figure 24: Egypt annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-2025
 Figure 25: Total renewables installed capacity by technology (%), 2018
 Figure 26: Evolution of installed power capacity (GW) by fuel-type as envisaged in the ISES, 2019-2035
 Figure 27: Iran installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 28: Iran annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 29: Iran installed renewable capacity by technology (%), December 2019
 Figure 30: Iran renewable energy installations
 Figure 31: Iraq installed renewable capacity by fuel type (MW), 2010-2025
 Figure 32: Iraq annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 33: Comparison of LCOE of solar power and electricity from oil and gas ($/MWh), 2015-2030
 Figure 34: Comparison of peak electricity demand and average power generation in Iraqi Kurdistan (MW), 2004-2017
 Figure 35: Structure of the KRG Electricity Ministry
 Figure 36: Kurdistan region location of existing power generating plants
 Figure 37: Jordan installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 38: Location of Cegco power plants in Jordan
 Figure 39: Jordan annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 40: Kuwait installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 41: Kuwait annual renewable power generation (GWh), Kuwait, 2010-25
 Figure 42: Solar thermal electricity generating potential in Kuwait
 Figure 43: Proposed output levels from the Al-Abdaliya ISCC
 Figure 44: Morocco installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 45: Morocco annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 46: Morocco target fuel mix (%), 2020
 Figure 47: Solar radiation map of Morocco
 Figure 48: Wind map of Morocco
 Figure 49: Renewable energy power project investments, 2010-2019* ($m)
 Figure 50: The MIS and Salalah systems
 Figure 51: Oman installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-2025
 Figure 52: Oman annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 53: Global solar radiation average (kWh/m2/d)
 Figure 54: Annual direct normal irradiance map of Oman*
 Figure 55: Qatar installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-25
 Figure 56: Qatar annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-25
 Figure 57: Institutional structure of decision-making in the Saudi Arabia energy sector
 Figure 58: Saudi Arabia installed renewable capacity (MW), 2010-2025
 Figure 59: Saudi Arabia annual renewable power generation (GWh), 2010-2025
 Figure 60: Renewable energy power contract awards ($m), 2009-2019*
 Figure 61: REPDO’s 2030 Renewables Target


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