Future of the Bangladesh Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Future of the Bangladesh Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022SummaryFuture of the Bangladesh Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.SynopsisThis report offers detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following - - The Bangladeshi defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns - Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country- Porters Five Force analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry - Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years - Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Bangladeshi defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysisScope- The Bangladeshi government has been steadily increasing its defense budget 2015 - 2017. Defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 13.10% over 2013-2017. The country allocated US$2.0 billion to its defense sector in 2013, which increased to US$3.3 billion in 2017. This trend is expected to continue during the forecast period, owing to the governments well-defined military modernization plans to better equip its armed forces.- Revenue expenditure allocation increased from 69.3% in 2013 to 76.1% in 2017 due to the countrys defense modernization efforts. Conversely, the countrys capital expenditure declined from 30.7% to 23.9% during the historic period. Over the forecast period, Bangladesh is expected to allocate an average of 25.5% of its defense budget to capital expenditure, while the remainder will be assigned to revenue expenditure.- The MoD is expected to invest in acquisition of frigates and corvettes.Reasons to buy- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry market trends for the coming five years- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector- A deep qualitative analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts
1. Introduction 71.1. What is this Report About? 71.2. Definitions 71.3. Summary Methodology 91.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 102. Executive Summary 113. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 133.1. Current Market Scenario 143.1.1. Primary Threat Perception 143.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy 163.1.3. Military Fleet Size 173.1.4. Procurement Programs 213.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 233.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances 243.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 253.2.1. The Bangladeshi defense budget is expected to reach US$5.4 billion by 2022, at a CAGR of 10.36% 253.2.2. Military modernization and peacekeeping missions are expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period 273.2.3. Bangladeshi defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP set to increase over the forecast period 293.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 313.3.1. Capital expenditure allocation is expected to increase slightly over the forecast period 313.3.2. Need to replace obsolete equipment to drive defense capital expenditure 333.3.3. Need to replace obsolete equipment to drive defense expenditure 353.3.4. Budget allocation on army is expected to remain highest over the forecast period 373.3.5. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 413.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 423.4.1. Bangladeshi homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.99% over the forecast period 423.4.2. Measures to combat drug smuggling and human trafficking are expected to drive Bangladeshi homeland security expenditure 443.4.3. Bangladesh falls under the highly affected category 453.4.4. Bangladesh is highly affected by acts of terrorism 463.4.5. Bangladesh has a terrorism index score of 6.5 483.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 493.5.1. Bangladeshi defense budget expected to increase at a CAGR of 10.36% over the forecast period 493.5.2. Bangladeshi military expenditure remains very low compared to other Asian countries 513.5.3. The country allocates a low percentage of its GDP towards the defense sector 523.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 533.6.1. Demand for frigates is forecast to increase 533.6.2. Increase demand for corvettes 544. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 554.1. Import Market Dynamics 564.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over 2016-2020 564.1.2. Weapons manufactured in China comprised the majority of imports to Bangladesh 574.1.3. Armored vehicles and ships dominated military hardware imports 584.2. Export Market Dynamics 594.2.1. The country exported negligible defense goods during 2012-2016 595. Industry Dynamics 605.1. Five Forces Analysis 605.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: High 615.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: Low 615.1.3. Barrier to Entry: Medium 615.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Low to High 615.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium to High 615.2. Market Regulation 625.2.1. Bangladesh does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country 625.2.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the defense sector not disclosed by the government 625.3. Market Entry Route 635.3.1. Budgeting Process 635.3.2. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals 645.3.3. Joint venture and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route 645.4. Key Challenges 655.4.1. Limited defense budget deters investors from market entry 655.4.2. Corruption hinders growth of the Bangladeshi defense sector 655.4.3. Chinese companies dominate the market, creating a challenge for other foreign firms 656. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 666.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 666.2. Key Companies 676.2.1. Bangladesh Ordnance Factory: Overview 676.2.2. Bangladesh Ordnance Factory: Products and Services 676.2.3. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory (BMTF) Ltd: Overview 686.2.4. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory: Products and Services 686.2.5. Leonardo: Overview 696.2.6. Leonardo: Products 696.2.7. Leonardo: Recent Contract Wins 696.2.8. Airbus Helicopters SAS: Overview 706.2.9. Airbus Helicopters SAS: Products and Services 706.2.10. Airbus Helicopters SAS: Recent Contract Wins 707. Business Environment and Country Risk 717.1. Economic Performance 717.1.1. Nominal GDP per Capita 717.1.2. GDP at Current Prices (US$) 727.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (Current LCU Billion) 737.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (Current LCU Billion) 747.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion) 757.1.6. LCU per US$ (period average) 767.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion) 777.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP) 787.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP (LCU) 797.1.10. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP 807.1.11. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP 817.1.12. Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP 827.1.13. Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP 837.1.14. Foreign Direct Investment, Net (BoP, current US$ billion) 847.1.15. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 857.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion) 868. Appendix 878.1. About SDI 878.2. Disclaimer 87

List Of Tables

Table 1: Bangladeshi Ground Forces Strength 17Table 2: Bangladesh Navy Strength 19Table 3: Bangladesh Air Force Strength 20Table 4: Bangladeshi - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs 21Table 5: Bangladesh - Future Procurement Programs 22Table 6: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022 25Table 7: Bangladeshi GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022 29Table 8: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022 31Table 9: Bangladesh Defense Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022 33Table 10: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Military Services (Army, Air Force, Navy and Others) (%), 2013-2022 35Table 11: Bangladeshi Defense Budget in BDT Billion - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2013-2022 37Table 12: Bangladeshi Defense Budget in US$ Billion - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2013-2022 39Table 13: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022 41Table 14: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Expenditure (BDT Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022 42Table 15: Terrorism Index, 2017 46Table 16: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022 49Table 17: Bangladeshi Budget Formation Timetable 63Table 18: Competitive Landscape of the Bangladeshi Defense Industry 66Table 19: Bangladesh Ordnance Factory - Key Products and Services 67Table 20: Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory - Key Products and Services 68Table 21: Leonardo - Key Products 69Table 22: Leonardo - Recent Contracts 69Table 23: Airbus Helicopters SAS - Key Products and Services 70Table 24: Airbus Helicopters SAS - Recent Contracts 70

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2013-2022 26Figure 2: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022 26Figure 3: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022 30Figure 4: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022 32Figure 5: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2013-2022 34Figure 6: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022 34Figure 7: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Others, 2013-2022 36Figure 8: Bangladeshi Defense Budget in BDT Billion - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2013-2022 38Figure 9: Bangladeshi Defense Budget in US$ Billion - Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2013-2022 40Figure 10: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022 41Figure 11: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2013-2022 43Figure 12: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022 43Figure 13: Terrorism Heat Map, 2017 45Figure 14: Terrorism Index, 2017 48Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022 50Figure 16: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2017 and 2022 51Figure 17: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017 52Figure 18: Frigates Market Size (US$ million), 2017 - 2027 53Figure 19: Corvettes Market Size (US$ million), 2017-2025 54Figure 20: Bangladeshi Defense Import Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values) 56Figure 21: Bangladeshi Defense Import by Country, 2012-2016 (TIV values) 57Figure 22: Bangladesh Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016 58Figure 23: Industry Dynamics - Porters Five Forces Analysis 60Figure 24: Bangladeshi GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025 71Figure 25: Bangladesh - GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 72Figure 26: Bangladeshi Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 73Figure 27:Bangladeshi Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 74Figure 28: Bangladeshi Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2013 75Figure 29: Bangladesh LCU per US$, 2015-2024 76Figure 30: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 77Figure 31: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012 78Figure 32: Bangladeshi Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2005-2011 79Figure 33: Bangladesh - Goods Exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 80Figure 34: Bangladesh - Goods Imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 81Figure 35: Bangladeshi Services Imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 82Figure 36: Bangladesh Service Exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014 83Figure 37: Bangladesh - Foreign Direct Investment, Net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2014 84Figure 38: Bangladeshi Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP, 2005-2013 85Figure 39: Bangladeshi Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 86

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