Future of the Algerian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Summary

The Future of the Algerian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

- Algerian defense expenditure is valued at US$10.3 billion in 2016, and registered a CAGR of 2.38% during the historic period. Algerian defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 13.28%, to value US$20.2 billion by 2021

- On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest US$80.5 billion for defense purposes, of which US$24 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The governments well-defined military modernization plans along with its efforts to counter domestic and foreign terrorist attacks, and the countrys active and consistent participation in the various peacekeeping missions are expected to stimulate the expenditure over the next few years

- The MoD is expected to invest in Armored Personnel Carriers (APCs), Naval vessels such as corvettes, frigates, transport and multi-role fighter aircraft

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Algerian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Algerian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Algerian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

ReasonsToBuy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Algerian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Algerian defense budget to grow at an estimated CAGR of 13.28% during 2017-2021
3.1.2. Rising threat of terrorism and an arms race in the region to drive Algerias defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will remain at an average of 8.6% over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 11.47% during the forecast period
3.2.3. Algerias per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. The homeland security market in Algeria is expected to decline at a CAGR of -7.76% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Human trafficking and drug trafficking form the main components of homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Algeria is at significant risk from external and internal threats
3.3.4. Algeria has a terrorism index score of 4.8
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Algerian defense expenditure expected to remain low compared to leading spenders
3.4.2. Algeria will continue to remain as a small contributor in the global arms market
3.4.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to remain low over the forecast period
3.4.4. Algeria faces "some risk" by acts of terrorism
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1. Multirole Aircraft
3.5.2. Transport Aircraft
3.5.3. Naval vessels - Frigates
3.5.4. Naval vessels - Corvettes
3.5.5. Armored Personnel Carrier
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports increased during the period 2011?2015
4.1.2. The US, Germany, and Italy are the major defense equipment suppliers for Algeria
4.1.3. Aircraft, Armored Vehicles, and Air defense systems accounted for a total share of 69.5% in Algerian defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Algeria does not export arms due to an undeveloped domestic arms industry
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.2. Bargaining power of the supplier: low to medium
5.3. Bargaining power of the buyer: medium
5.4. Barriers to entry: high
5.5. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
5.6. Threat of substitution: high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Formal offset policy to be drafted for ensuring growth of the countrys domestic defense manufacturing industry
6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in defense
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.2.2. Government-to-government agreements are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency pose an obstacle for market entry
6.3.2. Lack of relevant defense procurement policy
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Algeria
7.1.2. Rosoboronexport: overview
7.1.3. Rosoboronexport: products
7.1.4. Rosoboronexport: recent announcements and strategic initiative
7.1.5. Rosoboronexport: alliances
7.1.6. Rosoboronexport: recent contract wins
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials: overview
7.2.2. Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials Vehicles: products and services
7.2.3. Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials: alliances
7.2.5. NIMR-Algeria Joint Stock Company: overview
7.2.6. NIMR-Algeria Joint Stock Company: products
7.2.7. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK): overview
7.2.8. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: products
7.2.9. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: alliances
7.2.11. Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements (ERIS): overview
7.2.12. Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements: products
7.2.13. National office of Explosive substances, EPE (ONEX): overview
7.2.14. National Office of Explosive Substances: products
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (US$)
8.1.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services (DA)
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services (DA)
8.1.5. Gross national disposable income (USD Bn)
8.1.6. LCU per US$ (period average)
8.1.7. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.1.8. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.9. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.10. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Services exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.1.14. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (DA Bn)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List Of Tables

Table 1: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DA billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 2: Algerian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
Table 3: Algerian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
Table 4: Algerian Defense Capital Expenditure (DA Billion and US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Table 5: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Table 6: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DA billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 7:Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Table 8: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Table 9: Rosoboronexport -Alliances
Table 10: Rosoboronexport - Recent Contract Wins
Table 11: Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials- Product Focus
Table 12: Enterprise National des Vhicules Industrials - Alliances
Table 13: Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK) - Alliances

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DA or DZD Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 2: Algerian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 3: Algeria GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,2012-2021
Figure 4: Algerian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
Figure 5: Algerian Defense Capital Expenditure (DA Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 6: Algerian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 7: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Figure 8: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DA Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 9: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ billion),
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 15: Multirole Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 16: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2026
Figure 17: Missile Defense Systems Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 18: Corvettes Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 19: Algerias Armored Personnel Carrier Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 20: Algeria Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
Figure 21: Algerian Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
Figure 22: Algerian Defense Import by Country, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
Figure 23: Algerian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 24: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 25: Algerias GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025
Figure 26: Algerias GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 27: Algerias exports of goods and services (DA Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 28: Algerian Imports of goods and services (DA Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 29: Algerias DA per US$, 2005-2014
Figure 30: Algerias DA per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 31: Algeria? Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (DA), 2005-2011
Figure 32: Algeria? Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 33: Algeria? Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 34: Algeria? Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2013
Figure 35: Algeria? Services exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2013
Figure 36: Algeria? Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2013
Figure 37: Algerias Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 38: Algerias Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output, 2005-2014

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