Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

"Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023", published by it, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The UAE defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the UAE defense industry.

Scope

- UAE defense expenditure stands at US$10.7 billion in 2018, and registered a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -5.94% during the historic period.
- The countrys strained relationship with Greece, persistent threats from the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), active participation in peacekeeping missions, and the reduction in foreign dependency for military equipment procurement, drove defense expenditure during the historic period.
- With this trend expected to continue, expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 8.36% over the forecast period to value US$15.8 billion in 2023.
- As a percentage of GDP, the countrys defense expenditure will average 1.36% over the forecast period, which is marginally declining compared to an average of 1.44% recorded during the historic period.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers . This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of the UAE defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends , and latest industry contracts.

1. Introduction 9
1.1. What is this Report About? 9
1.2. Definitions 9
1.3. Summary Methodology 11
1.4. About GlobalData 12
2. Executive Summary 13
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 15
3.1. Current Market Scenario 16
3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception 16
3.1.2. Military Doctrine and Strategy 17
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 19
3.1.4. Procurement Programs 23
3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment and Support for Defense Projects 27
3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances 28
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 30
3.2.1. UAE defense budget to record a CAGR of 6.47% over the forecast period 30
3.2.2. Military modernization initiatives, territorial dispute with Iran, and peace keeping missions to drive defense expenditure 33
3.2.3. The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period 35
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 37
3.3.1. Procurement of advanced equipment to drive capital expenditure allocation over the forecast period 37
3.3.2. Capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.39% over the forecast period 39
3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 41
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 43
3.4.1. The UAEs homeland security budget is expected to increase at a CAGR of 4.66% over the forecast period 43
3.4.2. Investment in the protection of infrastructure and cyber security are expected to drive the UAE homeland security market 45
3.4.3. The UAE falls under the some risk category on the Terrorism Index 46
3.4.4. The UAE faces some risk by acts of terrorism 47
3.4.5. The UAE has a terrorism index score of 0.2 49
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 50
3.5.1. The UAEs defense budget is expected to register rapid growth over 2019-2023 50
3.5.2. The UAEs defense expenditure is relatively small when compared to the leading defense spenders 52
3.5.3. The UAE spent over 6.1% of its GDP on defense in 2018 53
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers 54
3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections over 2018-2023 54
3.6.2. Critical Infrastructure Protection - Physical Security 55
3.6.3. Land-Based C4ISR 56
3.6.4. Multirole Aircraft 57
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 58
4.1. Import Market Dynamics 59
4.1.1. Limitations within the domestic defense industry to encourage arms imports 59
4.1.2. The UAE was the worlds fourth-largest arms importer over the historic period 60
4.1.3. The US continues to be the major arms supplier to the UAE 61
4.1.4. Missiles and ships dominate UAE defense imports 62
4.2. Export Market Dynamics 63
4.2.1. The UAE has minimal defense exports 63
5. Industry Dynamics 66
5.1. Five Forces Analysis 66
5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: Low to Medium 67
5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: Medium to High 67
5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: Medium to High 67
5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: High 68
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low to Medium 68
6. Market Entry Strategy 69
6.1. Market Regulation 69
6.1.1. Defense deals are settled through direct negotiation or competitive bidding 69
6.1.2. Foreign OEMs prefer indirect offsets to meet the obligations associated with defense deals 69
6.2. Market Entry Route 71
6.2.1. Budget Process 71
6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 72
6.2.3. Foreign OEMs use proxy representatives to enter the market 72
6.2.4. Defense exhibitions hosted by the UAE serve as an entry route for foreign OEMs 73
6.2.5. Joint ventures and collaborations offer alternative means of entering the market 73
6.3. Key Challenges 74
6.3.1. Complying with the UAEs stringent offset requirements a concern for OEMs 74
6.3.2. The UAE demands technology transfers in its defense deals 74
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 75
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 75
7.2. Key Domestic Public Sector Companies 78
7.2.1. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Overview 78
7.2.2. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Products and Services 78
7.2.3. Abu Dhabi Ship Building (ADSB): Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 78
7.2.4. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Alliances 79
7.2.5. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Recent Contract Wins 80
7.2.6. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Financial Analysis 81
7.2.7. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support: Overview 83
7.2.8. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support: Services 83
7.2.9. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration: Overview 85
7.2.10. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration: Products and Services 85
7.2.11. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 85
7.2.12. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration: Alliances 85
7.3. Key Foreign Companies 87
7.3.1. Lockheed Martin: Overview 87
7.3.2. Lockheed Martin: Products 87
7.3.3. Lockheed Martin: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 87
7.3.4. Lockheed Martin: Alliances 89
7.3.5. Lockheed Martin: Recent Contract Wins 90
7.3.6. Lockheed Martin: Financial Analysis 92
7.3.7. BAE Systems Plc.: Overview 94
7.3.8. BAE Systems Plc.: Products 94
7.3.9. BAE Systems Plc.: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 95
7.3.10. BAE Systems Plc.: Alliances 96
7.3.11. BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins 97
7.3.12. BAE Systems: Financial Analysis 99
7.3.13. Raytheon: Overview 101
7.3.14. Raytheon: Products 101
7.3.15. Raytheon: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 101
7.3.16. Raytheon: Alliances 105
7.3.17. Raytheon: Recent Contract Wins 106
7.3.18. Raytheon: Financial Analysis 108
7.3.19. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Overview 110
7.3.20. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Products 110
7.3.21. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 110
7.3.22. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Alliances 111
7.3.23. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Recent Contract Wins 112
7.3.24. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Financial Analysis 113
7.3.25. Northrop Grumman Corporation: Overview 115
7.3.26. Northrop Grumman Corporation: Products 115
7.3.27. Northrop Grumman Corporation: Recent Announcements and Strategic initiatives 115
7.3.28. Northrop Grumman Corporation: Alliances 117
7.3.29. Northrop Grumman Corp.: Recent Contract Wins 119
7.3.30. Northrop Grumman: Financial Analysis 121
7.3.31. Thales: Overview 123
7.3.32. Thales: Products 123
7.3.33. Thales: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 123
7.3.34. Thales: Alliances 124
7.3.35. Thales: Recent Contract Wins 125
7.3.36. Thales: Financial Analysis 126
7.3.37. The Boeing Company: Overview 128
7.3.38. The Boeing Company: Products 128
7.3.39. The Boeing Company: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 128
7.3.40. The Boeing Company: Alliances 130
7.3.41. The Boeing Company: Recent Contract Wins 130
7.3.42. The Boeing Company: Financial Analysis 132
8. Business Environment and Country Risk 134
8.1. Economic Performance 134
8.1.1. GDP per Capita 134
8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product 135
8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 136
8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion) 137
8.1.5. LCU per US$ (Period Average) 138
8.1.6. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies 139
8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage GDP 140
8.1.8. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, Current US$ Billion) 141
8.1.9. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 142
8.1.10. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion) 143
9. Appendix 144
9.1. About GlobalData 144
9.2. Disclaimer 144

List Of Tables


Table 1: UAE Army Strength 19
Table 2: UAE Air Force Strength 21
Table 3: UAE Navy Strength 22
Table 4: UAE - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs 23
Table 5: UAE - Future Procurement Programs 25
Table 6: The UAE Top Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 26
Table 7: UAE Defense Expenditure (AED Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 31
Table 8: UAE GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth (%), 2014-2023 35
Table 9: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 37
Table 10: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (AED Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 39
Table 11: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 41
Table 12: UAE Defense Expenditure for Homeland Security (AED Billion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 43
Table 13: Terrorism Index, 2017 47
Table 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 50
Table 15: Top Israeli Defense Sectors by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 54
Table 16: UAE - Offset Guidelines and Agreements 70
Table 17: UAE Budget Formation Timetable 71
Table 18: Competitive Landscape of the UAE Defense Industry 75
Table 19: Top Defense Suppliers in the UAE Defense Industry By Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 77
Table 20: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Products and Services 78
Table 21: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Alliances 79
Table 22: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Recent Contract Wins 80
Table 23: Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - Services 83
Table 24: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Products and Services 85
Table 25: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Alliances 86
Table 26: Lockheed Martin - Products 87
Table 27: Lockheed Martin - Alliances 89
Table 28: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins 90
Table 29: BAE Systems Plc. - Major Products 94
Table 30: BAE Systems Plc. - Alliances 96
Table 31: BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins 97
Table 32: Raytheon - Products 101
Table 33: Raytheon - Alliances 105
Table 34: Raytheon Company - Recent Contract Wins 106
Table 35: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Products 110
Table 36: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Alliances 111
Table 37: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Recent Contract Wins 112
Table 38: Northrop Grumman - Products 115
Table 39: Northrop Grumman Corporation - Alliances 117
Table 40: Northrop Grumman Corp. - Recent Contract Wins 119
Table 41: Thales - Products 123
Table 42: Thales - Alliances 124
Table 43: Thales - Recent Contract Wins 125
Table 44: The Boeing Company - Products 128
Table 45: The Boeing Company - Alliances 130
Table 46: The Boeing Company - Recent Contract Wins 130

List Of Figures


Figure 1: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2014-2023 31
Figure 2: UAE Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 32
Figure 3: UAE GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2014-2023 36
Figure 4: UAE Defense Expenditure Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 38
Figure 5: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (AED Billion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 6: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 40
Figure 7: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 42
Figure 8: UAE Homeland Security Expenditure (AED Billion), 2014-2023 44
Figure 9: UAE Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 44
Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 46
Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2018 49
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 51
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 52
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 53
Figure 15: Physical Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 55
Figure 16: Land Based C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 56
Figure 17: Multirole Aircraft (US$ Million), 2018-2023 57
Figure 18: The UAEs Top Defense Procurements in Terms of Their Supplier Relationships 58
Figure 19: UAE Defense Imports (US$ million), 2013-2017 60
Figure 20: UAE Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 61
Figure 21: UAE Defense Imports by Category (%), 2013-2017 62
Figure 22: UAE Defense Exports (US$ million), 2013-2017 63
Figure 23: UAE Defense Exports by Country (%), 2013-2017 64
Figure 24: UAE Defense Exports by Category (%), 2013-2017 65
Figure 25: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis 66
Figure 26: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Revenue Trend Analysis (AED Million), 2013-2017 81
Figure 27: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (AED Million), 2012-2016 81
Figure 28: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Net Profit Trend Analysis (AED Million), 2013-2017 82
Figure 29: Lockheed Martin - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 92
Figure 30: Lockheed Martin - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 93
Figure 31: Lockheed Martin - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 93
Figure 32: BAE Systems - Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2013-2017 99
Figure 33: BAE Systems - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2013-2017 100
Figure 34: BAE Systems - Net Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2013-2017 100
Figure 35: Raytheon - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 108
Figure 36: Raytheon - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 109
Figure 37: Raytheon - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 109
Figure 38: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2013-2017 113
Figure 39: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Million), 2013-2017 114
Figure 40: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Net Profit Trend Analysis (GBP Million), 2013-2017 114
Figure 41: Northrop Grumman - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 121
Figure 42: Northrop Grumman - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 121
Figure 43: Northrop Grumman - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 122
Figure 44: Thales - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2013-2017 126
Figure 45: Thales - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 126
Figure 46: Thales - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 127
Figure 47: Boeing - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 132
Figure 48: Boeing - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 132
Figure 49: Boeing - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 133
Figure 50: UAE GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 134
Figure 51: UAE GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 135
Figure 52: UAE Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 136
Figure 53: UAE Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 137
Figure 54: LCU per US$ (US$), 2015-2024 138
Figure 55: UAE Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 139
Figure 56: UAE Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012 140
Figure 57: UAE Net Foreign Direct Investment (BoP, Current US$ Billion) 2005-2014 141
Figure 58: UAE Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 142
Figure 59: UAE Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 143

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