Indonesia Cigarette Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025 - Analyzing Product Categories and Segments, Distribution Channel, Competitive Landscape and Consumer Segmentation

Indonesia Cigarette Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2025 - Analyzing Product Categories and Segments, Distribution Channel, Competitive Landscape and Consumer Segmentation

Summary

The Indonesian cigarette category is expected to register a positive value CAGR over 2020-2025. Cigarettes are heavily taxed and have become a major source of revenue for the Indonesian Government. Sales are forecast to rise over the coming decade amidst the growing restrictions and increased taxes by the government

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the tobacco sector in Indonesia, as part of GlobalDatas global coverage of the sector. It includes analysis on the following -
- Market Context: The report provides comparative analysis of the value shares of Indonesia in the Asia-Pacific and global tobacco sector. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of tobacco in Indonesia is also compared with the Asia-Pacific and global levels.
- Market Size and Structure : The report offers an overview of the growth at a sector level and provides analysis of four categories: cigarettes, cigars & cigarillos, smokeless tobacco, and smoking tobacco. These categories are analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2015-2025. The section also includes value analysis of segments, value and volume analysis of sub-segments segments under each category for the period 2015-2025.
- Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of tobacco in Indonesia, by category, compared to the Asia-Pacific and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2020. The consumer sector reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, tobacco specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.
- Taxation : It covers taxation landscape in the country and effects in the tobacco sector
- Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies by category in 2019 and analyzes the market share and growth of private label in each category.
- The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of tobacco by gender in Indonesia.
- Operating Constraints: The report cover the impact of policies and regulation on tobacco sector in Indonesia.
- Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of categories in the tobacco sector
- Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in Indonesia, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.
- Exchange rates: Exchange rates used to convert local currency to US dollars are annual average floating exchange rates.
- Time period: The report provides sector value and volume data, including category and sector level data for the period 2015-2025. Distribution channel data is of 2020, and company data is included for 2019.

Scope

- Per capita expenditure of tobacco was lower in Indonesia compared to the global and regional level in 2020
- The Indonesian tobacco sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.8% by value during 2020-2025
- Convenience stores is the leading distribution channel in the cigarettes category, with a volume share of 28.3% in 2020
- Philip Morris International Inc was the leading company in the cigarettes category with a volume share of 32% in 2020

Reasons to Buy

- Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
- Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning.
- The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.
- This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers.
- Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.
Table of Contents
Report scope
Part 1: Introduction
Executive Summary
Part 2: Market Context
Value growth analysis by region
PCE of Indonesia compared to global and Asia Pacific markets
Part 3: Market Size and Structure
Indonesia tobacco sector snapshot
Market size analysis
Cross category comparison Category winners and losers
Market size analysis category: cigarettes
Segment analysis : cigarettes
Sub segment analysis: cigarettes
Part 4: Production and Trade
Per capita expenditure analysis by category
Channel share analysis cigarettes
Part 5: Taxation
Tax incidence comparison cigarettes
Part 6: Manufacturers and Brands
Leading companies by volume share cigarettes
Brand share analysis of top five companies by category
Part 7: The Smoking population
Smoking population, by gender
Part 8: Operating Constraints
Part 9: Prospects and Forecasts
Tobacco product growth analysis cigarettes
Part 10: Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP growth and inflation
Population growth
Labor market trend
Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
Indonesia Risk Index (GCRI) 2020
Indonesia Risk Analysis Compared to the Global and Asia Pacific Markets
Methodology
Definitions
Appendix

List Of Tables

List of Tables
Leading categories (value), 2020
Fastest growing segments (value), 2020
leading companies by category (volume), 2019*
Leading channel by category (volume), 2020*
Leading value and volume categories
Cigarettes value analysis by segment, 2015 2025
Cigarettes value analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025
Cigarettes volume analysis by sub segment, 2015 2025
Per capita expenditure (by category), Indonesia compared to Asia Pacific and global levels (in US$), 2020
Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2015 2020
EU: Cigarettes, tax incidence comparison , 2021
Brand volume shares of top five companies by category, 2019
Performance Overview (Score: 1 100)
Sector data, by category
Per capita expenditure (US$), 2015 2025
Tobacco volume sales distribution in Indonesia, by category, 2020
Brand volume share by category, 2019
Real GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017 2025
Nominal GDP and Annual Growth (%), 2017 2025
Consumer Price Inflation (%), 2017 2025
Employed People and Unemployment Rate (%), 2017 2025
Nominal Household Final Consumption Expenditure and Annual Growth (%), 2017 2025
Population and Annual Growth (%), 2017 2025
Population by Age Group (%)
Population by Gender (%)
Population by Rural Urban Split (%)
Exchange Rates, 2015 2025

List Of Figures

List of Figures
Value share of Indonesia in the global and Asia Pacific tobacco sector, 2020 2025
PCE comparison Indonesia, Asia Pacific, and global, 2015 2025
Market size and growth analysis by value, tobacco sector, 2015 2025
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2015 2025
Key distribution channels cigarettes, in million pieces
Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2020
Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2007 2020
Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2015 2025
Real GDP (Rp billion) and annual growth (%)
Nominal GDP (Rp billion) and annual growth (%)
Consumer price inflation (%)
Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in Rp terms
Population (million) and annual growth (%)
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural urban split (%)
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
Five Lowest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
Five Highest Risk Nations in GCRI Q4 2020
Indonesias performance in country risk analysis in comparison West Europe and world average

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