Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021)

Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021)

Summary

GlobalData expects the Polish construction industry to grow by 1.2% in 2021, in a sharp upward revision from the previous forecast, as the country has successfully managed the second wave and reopened business activity in the second quarter of 2021. The second wave during January-March 2021 disrupted the construction industry severely in the first quarter of 2021. However, in the second quarter of the year, the construction industry recovered, supported by the reopening of the economy. According to Eurostat, the construction industrys value add grew by 3.5% YoY in the second quarter of 2021, preceded by year-on-year (Y-o-Y) declines of 13% in Q1 2021 and 5.3% in Q4 2020.

Globaldata expects the construction industry to continue its recovery in the coming quarters, on the back of declining Coronavirus (COVID-19) cases and the governments investment on transport infrastructure with an aim to combat COVID-19s economic impact. Moreover, the European Unions Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) is also supporting the industrys growth over the forecast period. In August 2021, the EU announced a plan to provide PLN783.8 billion (US$201 billion) in funding to the country under the RRF during the period of 2021-2027. Of the total amount, the government decided to spend PLN73.7 billion (US$18.9 billion), particularly on the countrys railway infrastructure.

The Kolej Plus programme was launched by the government in early 2020, with a total investment of PLN6.6 billion (US$1.6 billion), under which the countrys railway infrastructure will be developed in cities which lack railway transport. Furthermore, in June 2021, Polands deputy minister for infrastructure, Marcin Horaa, signed an agreement with Spanish Minister of Transport, Mobility and Urban Agenda, Jos Luis balos, towards the development of a Polish high-speed rail system, part of the Solidarity Transport Hub. Furthermore, the government has pledged an investment of PLN75 billion (US$18 billion) in renewable energy projects, which will help the country in meeting its clean energy goals by 2030. Globaldata expects the country construction industry to register an annual average growth of 3.5% in real terms during the period of 2021-2025.

GlobalDatas Construction in Poland - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Polish construction industry, including -
- The Polish construction industrys growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Polish construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalDatas standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalDatas critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
3.5 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
- Outlook
- Latest news and developments
- Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
7.4 GlobalData Construction
Contact Us

List Of Tables

List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors
Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants
Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions

List Of Figures

List of Figures
Figure 1: Eastern Europe, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Poland, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Poland, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Poland, Risk Summary
Figure 5: Poland, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 6: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 7: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Poland, Construction Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 9: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100)
Figure 10: Poland, Construction Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100)
Figure 11: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: Eastern Europe, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 13: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 14: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 15: Poland, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 16: Poland, Tourist Arrivals and Overnight Stay (% Change, Year on Year)
Figure 17: Poland, Retail Sales Index (% Change, Year on Year)
Figure 18: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 19: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 20: Poland, Manufacturing Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 21: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)
Figure 22: Poland, Manufacturing Production Index (% Change, Year on Year)
Figure 23: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 24: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 25: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 26: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 27: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 28: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 29: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 30: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 31: Poland, Real-Estate Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 32: Poland, House Price Index (2015=100)
Figure 33: Poland, Dwellings Completed (in Thousands)
Figure 34: Poland, Dwellings Under Construction (Number, Units)
Figure 35: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 36: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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