Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q1 2021)

Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q1 2021)

Summary

Brazils construction industry is expected to grow by 0.7% in 2021, after declining by 7% in 2020, in line with GlobalDatas forecast of a contraction of 7.1% for the year. Over the remainder of the forecast period, the industry is expected to grow by 2.8%, supported by low interest rates and the governments housing programs such as Casa Verde e Amarela. The program, which was launched in July 2020 and replaced the Minha Casa, Minha Vida program, aims to provide funding to low-income families via loans, incentives in debt renegotiation and land legislation of about 12 million low-income properties in the country. Despite the strong demand for houses, however, the shortage and increase in the prices of building materials are anticipated to hold back investment in the residential market and the overall industry in the short term.

In addition, uncertainty over the duration and behaviour of the virus and slow progress of the vaccination program, together with widening fiscal deficits and increasing public debt burdens in the face of weak economic growth and heightening political risks, are expected to continue to restrain the governments efforts to facilitate more private and foreign investment in the countrys infrastructure development, while leaving not much space in the budget to invest in public works. Other factors hindering investment in the industry include high levels of bureaucracy and corruption scandals.

Brazil has the worlds second highest number of COVID-19 cases in the world after the US, as well as the worlds second highest number of fatalities (also after the US). As of March 16th, 2021, the country had 11,519,609 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 279,286 fatalities, according to Johns Hopkins University. While the country continues to struggle to contain the number of COVID-19 cases, the impact of the pandemic on the construction industry has been less severe when compared to other major Latin American countries, as nearly all building activities have been allowed to carry on since the start of the pandemic.

The governments income transfers to support millions of poor households, which are due to expire at the end of 2020, also helped to prevent a much worse outcome in the regions largest construction market. However, the countrys devastating second wave of COVID-19 and fragile economy are adding pressure on the government to keep spending.

This report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into Brazils construction industry, including -
- Brazils construction industrys growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Brazils construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Brazil. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Brazil, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalDatas standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalDatas critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
4.2 Commercial Construction
4.3 Industrial Construction
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
4.6 Institutional Construction
4.7 Residential Construction
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 GlobalData Construction
Contact Us

List Of Tables


Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Brazil, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Brazil, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Brazil, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Brazil, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Brazil, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Brazil, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Brazil, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Brazil, Key Contractors
Table 16: Brazil, Key Consultants
Table 17: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Nominal, BRL Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

List Of Figures


Figure 1: Latin America, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Brazil, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 5: Brazil, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 6: Brazil, Construction Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 7: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Construction Industry, In Thousands
Figure 8: Brazil, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices)
Figure 9: Brazil, Construction Activity Index
Figure 10: Brazil, Business Confidence Index (ICEI)
Figure 11: Brazil, Operational Capacity Utilization in the Construction Sector
Figure 12: Brazil, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 13: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 14: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 15: Brazil, Losses in The Brazilian Tourism Sector, in BRL Billion
Figure 16: Brazil, Services Volume and Revenue Indices, 2014=100, % Change YoY
Figure 17: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Accommodation and Food Services Sector, In Thousands
Figure 18: Brazil, Total Retail Sales Volume and Revenue Indices (2014=100), % Change YoY
Figure 19: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 20: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 21: Brazil, Manufacturing Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 22: Brazil, Industrial, Manufacturing and Mining Production Indices, (2012=100) % Change YoY
Figure 23: Brazil, Capacity Utilization in the Manufacturing Sector
Figure 24: Brazil, Total Exports (US$ Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 25: Brazil, Total Number of Vehicles Produced, % Change YoY
Figure 26: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 27: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 28: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 29: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 30: Brazil, Power Generated (In GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 31: Brazil, Electricity consumed (in GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 32: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 33: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 34: Brazil, Value-Add of Public Administration, Health and Education, and Social Security (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices)
Figure 35: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 36: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 37: Brazil, Real Estate Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices)
Figure 38: Brazil, Loans for Real Estate Acquisition and Construction (In BRL Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 39: Brazil, Residential Real Estate Sale Index, 2012=100, % Change YoY
Figure 40: Brazil, Residential Units Sold (In Thousands)
Figure 41: Brazil, Residential Units Launched (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 42: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 43: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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