Construction in Ethiopia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (H1 2021)

Construction in Ethiopia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (H1 2021)

Summary

The Ethiopian construction industry is expected to expand by 4.7% in real terms in 2021 - up from a growth rate of 3.1% in 2020. Construction activities held up relatively well despite the outbreak of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. The government did not impose a strict lockdown in response to the outbreak, and although it imposed a state of emergency in early April 2020, construction activity was encouraged to continue during the crisis, which helped industry output growth in 2020.

In June 2020, the Ethiopian Council of Ministers approved a budget of over ETB476 billion (US$13.7 billion) for the Financial Year (FY) 2020/2021 (which runs from July 8th, 2020 to July 7th, 2021). The government allocated ETB160.3 (US$4.6 billion) towards capital expenditure, which marks an increase of 22.7% compared to the previous fiscal years allocation of ETB130.7 billion (US$4.5 billion). Although the construction industry is forecast to grow this year, a downside risk could arise from the unstable political environment created due to the conflict between the federal government of Ethiopia and the armed rebel group of the Tigray region, that erupted in November 2020. This could weigh on investor confidence, thereby affecting the economy and the construction industry.

GlobalData expects the industry to register an annual average growth of 8.3% between 2022 and 2025, supported by investments in transport, electricity, tourism, manufacturing, and industrial park projects. The country aims to become a light manufacturing hub in Africa and a lower-middle-income economy by 2025. To achieve this, it plans to increase the number of operational industrial parks in the country from five in 2018 to 30 by 2025. In June 2020, the government unveiled its 10-year economic development plan, which mainly focuses on the agriculture, tourism, manufacturing, Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and mining sectors. The construction industrys growth over the long term will also be supported by the governments focus on improving ease of doing business in the country, with a specific focus on improving the processes involved in obtaining construction permits and getting credit.

This report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Ethiopian construction industry, including -
- The Ethiopian construction industrys growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Ethiopian construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Ethiopia. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Ethiopia, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalDatas standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalDatas critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
4.2 Commercial Construction
4.3 Industrial Construction
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
4.6 Institutional Construction
4.7 Residential Construction
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 GlobalData Construction

List Of Tables


Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Ethiopia, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Ethiopia, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Ethiopia, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Ethiopia, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Ethiopia, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Ethiopia, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Ethiopia, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Ethiopia, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Ethiopia, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Ethiopia, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Ethiopia, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Ethiopia, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Ethiopia, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Ethiopia, Key Contractors
Table 16: Ethiopia, Key Consultants
Table 17: Ethiopia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Ethiopia, Construction Output Value (Nominal, ETB Billion)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

List Of Figures


Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Ethiopia, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Ethiopia, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Ethiopia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 5: Ethiopia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 6: Ethiopia, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 7: Ethiopia, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Ethiopia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 9: Ethiopia, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 10: Ethiopia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 11: Ethiopia, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 12: Ethiopia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 13: Ethiopia, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 14: Ethiopia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 15: Ethiopia, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 16: Ethiopia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 17: Ethiopia, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 18: Ethiopia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 19: Ethiopia, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 20: Ethiopia, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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