Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021)
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Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021)
Summary
Brazils construction industry is now forecast to grow by 5.8% in 2021, before it moderates to an annual average growth of 2.8% over the remainder of the forecast period (2022-2025). This compares to the previous forecasts of 4.1% for this year. The revision reflects stronger-than-expected construction growth in the second quarter of 2021, favorable base effects and government investment in housing and transport infrastructure. The governments housing program, Casa Verde e Amarela, as well as planned concessions by the end of next year, are expected to support investment and growth in the industry in the coming years.
The Ministry of Infrastructure expects a BRL267.8 billion (US$50 billion) investment boom in the development and modernization of the countrys roads, rail, airports and ports by 2022, driven by concession projects.
Despite the countrys ongoing challenges in containing the spread of Coronavirus (COVID-19), the latest data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) indicated that Brazils construction industry performed much stronger-than-expected construction growth in Q2 2021, with output posting a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) rise of 13.1% in real terms, up from construction of 0.9% in Q1 2021, and 4.8% in Q4 2020. However, there are concerns for this growth to be sustained over the course of the year of the due to the continued shortage of building materials and higher prices, as well as uncertainty over the duration and behavior of the virus.
Growing political and fiscal risks ahead of next years presidential elections are expected weigh on activity in 2022, potentially undermining the governments efforts to facilitate more foreign and private sector investment in the country.
GlobalDatas Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into Brazils construction industry, including -
- Brazils construction industrys growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Brazils construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Brazil. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Brazil, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalDatas standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalDatas critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
Summary
Brazils construction industry is now forecast to grow by 5.8% in 2021, before it moderates to an annual average growth of 2.8% over the remainder of the forecast period (2022-2025). This compares to the previous forecasts of 4.1% for this year. The revision reflects stronger-than-expected construction growth in the second quarter of 2021, favorable base effects and government investment in housing and transport infrastructure. The governments housing program, Casa Verde e Amarela, as well as planned concessions by the end of next year, are expected to support investment and growth in the industry in the coming years.
The Ministry of Infrastructure expects a BRL267.8 billion (US$50 billion) investment boom in the development and modernization of the countrys roads, rail, airports and ports by 2022, driven by concession projects.
Despite the countrys ongoing challenges in containing the spread of Coronavirus (COVID-19), the latest data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) indicated that Brazils construction industry performed much stronger-than-expected construction growth in Q2 2021, with output posting a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) rise of 13.1% in real terms, up from construction of 0.9% in Q1 2021, and 4.8% in Q4 2020. However, there are concerns for this growth to be sustained over the course of the year of the due to the continued shortage of building materials and higher prices, as well as uncertainty over the duration and behavior of the virus.
Growing political and fiscal risks ahead of next years presidential elections are expected weigh on activity in 2022, potentially undermining the governments efforts to facilitate more foreign and private sector investment in the country.
GlobalDatas Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q3 2021) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into Brazils construction industry, including -
- Brazils construction industrys growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Brazils construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Brazil. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Brazil, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalDatas standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalDatas critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
3.5 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
- Outlook
- Latest news and developments
- Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
7.4 GlobalData Construction
Contact Us
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Brazil, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Brazil, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Brazil, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Brazil, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Brazil, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Brazil, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Brazil, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Brazil, Key Contractors
Table 16: Brazil, Key Consultants
Table 17: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Nominal, BRL Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
Figure 1: Latin America, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Brazil, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Brazil, Risk Summary
Figure 5: Brazil, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 6: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 7: Brazil, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Brazil, Construction Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 9: Brazil, Number of People Employed in the Construction Industry, In Thousands, % Change YoY
Figure 10: Brazil, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 11: Brazil, Construction Activity Index
Figure 12: Brazil, Business Confidence Index (ICEI)
Figure 13: Brazil, Construction - Operation capacity utilization (%)
Figure 14: Brazil, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: Latin America, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 16: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 17: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 18: Brazil, Services Sector Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 19: Brazil, Services Volume and Revenue Indices, 2014=100, % Change YoY
Figure 20: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Accommodation and Food Services Sector, In Thousands
Figure 21: Brazil, Total Retail Sales Volume and Revenue Indices (2014=100), % Change YoY
Figure 22: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 23: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 24: Brazil, Manufacturing Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 25: Brazil, Capacity Utilization in the Manufacturing Sector
Figure 26: Brazil, Industrial, Manufacturing and Mining Production Indices, (2012=100) % Change YoY
Figure 27: Brazil, Total Exports (US$ Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 28: Brazil, Number of Vehicles Produced, Registered and Exported
Figure 29: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 30: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 31: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 32: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 33: Brazil, Electricity and Gas, Water, Sewage, Waste Management Activities Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 34: Brazil, Power Generated (In GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 35: Brazil, Electricity Consumed (in GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 36: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 37: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 38: Brazil, Value Add of Public Administration, Health and Education and Social Security (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 39: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 40: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 41: Brazil, Real Estate Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 42: Brazil, Loans for Real Estate Acquisition and Construction (BRL Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 43: Brazil, Residential Real Estate Sale Index, 2012=100, % Change YoY
Figure 44: Brazil, Residential Units Sold (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 45: Brazil, Residential Units Launched (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 46: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 47: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
3.5 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
- Outlook
- Latest news and developments
- Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
7.4 GlobalData Construction
Contact Us
List Of Tables
List of TablesTable 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Brazil, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Brazil, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Brazil, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Brazil, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Brazil, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Brazil, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Brazil, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Brazil, Key Contractors
Table 16: Brazil, Key Consultants
Table 17: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Nominal, BRL Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List Of Figures
List of FiguresFigure 1: Latin America, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Brazil, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Brazil, Risk Summary
Figure 5: Brazil, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 6: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 7: Brazil, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Brazil, Construction Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 9: Brazil, Number of People Employed in the Construction Industry, In Thousands, % Change YoY
Figure 10: Brazil, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 11: Brazil, Construction Activity Index
Figure 12: Brazil, Business Confidence Index (ICEI)
Figure 13: Brazil, Construction - Operation capacity utilization (%)
Figure 14: Brazil, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: Latin America, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 16: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 17: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 18: Brazil, Services Sector Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 19: Brazil, Services Volume and Revenue Indices, 2014=100, % Change YoY
Figure 20: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Accommodation and Food Services Sector, In Thousands
Figure 21: Brazil, Total Retail Sales Volume and Revenue Indices (2014=100), % Change YoY
Figure 22: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 23: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 24: Brazil, Manufacturing Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 25: Brazil, Capacity Utilization in the Manufacturing Sector
Figure 26: Brazil, Industrial, Manufacturing and Mining Production Indices, (2012=100) % Change YoY
Figure 27: Brazil, Total Exports (US$ Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 28: Brazil, Number of Vehicles Produced, Registered and Exported
Figure 29: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 30: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 31: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 32: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 33: Brazil, Electricity and Gas, Water, Sewage, Waste Management Activities Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 34: Brazil, Power Generated (In GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 35: Brazil, Electricity Consumed (in GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 36: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 37: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 38: Brazil, Value Add of Public Administration, Health and Education and Social Security (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 39: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 40: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 41: Brazil, Real Estate Value Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 42: Brazil, Loans for Real Estate Acquisition and Construction (BRL Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 43: Brazil, Residential Real Estate Sale Index, 2012=100, % Change YoY
Figure 44: Brazil, Residential Units Sold (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 45: Brazil, Residential Units Launched (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 46: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 47: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
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