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The Mobile services in developed AsiaPacific: trends and forecasts 20152020

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This report provides commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP). It includes worldwide context and specific country commentary on four key countries: Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea.

 6.Executive Summary
 
 7.Worldwide trends
 
 8.Worldwide: DVAP markets will grow faster than those in Europe, but North America will have the largest retail revenue
 
 9.Worldwide: Mobile penetration will increase to 108% by 2020, driven by service take-up in the DVAP, EMAP and SSA regions
 
 10.Worldwide: LTE’s share of connections will be highest in NA (92%) and DVAP (84%)
 
 11.Worldwide: Competition in mature regions, OTT services and converged bundles will have a downward pressure on ARPU
 
 12.Regional trends
 
 13.DVAP: The region’s embrace of the latest technology and network upgrades will drive mobile service revenue growth
 
 14.DVAP: SIM population penetration is over 100% in all countries in DVAP, and is highest in Hong Kong – at more than 200%
 
 15.DVAP: 4G will account for most of the region’s mobile connections <br /> in 2020, and operators here are pioneers in technology advancement
 
 16.DVAP: FTTH/B and LTE will dominate in DVAP, and commercial 5G services are expected to launch by 2020
 
 17.DVAP: Smartphones will account for 87% of the region’s handsets <br /> by 2020, driven by the demand for 4G services and affordable devices
 
 18.DVAP: Mobile ARPU will remain stable due to balancing of price <br /> pressures and increasing bundled service value
 
 19.DVAP: Increasing smartphone penetration and high 4G availability will drive handset data ARPU up to USD23 in 2020
 
 20.Country-level trends
 
 21.Australia: 4G accounted for 46.1% of active SIMs, and its share will continue to grow
 
 22.Hong Kong: As the number of 4G connections continues to grow, operators will focus on providing rich communication services
 
 23.Singapore: Smartphone penetration and contract penetration grew to 71.5% and 60.5%, respectively
 
 24.South Korea: The number of 4G subscribers has more than doubled since 2012; MVNOs have gained the most from net adds
 
 25.Forecast methodology and assumptions
 
 26.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
 
 27.Our forecasts are informed by primary and secondary research for data collection, a rigorous methodology and our analysis of external drivers
 
 28.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
 
 29.About the authors and Analysys Mason
 
 30.About the authors
 
 31.About Analysys Mason
 
 32.Research from Analysys Mason
 
 33.Consulting from Analysys Mason


List Of Figures

 Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014–2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide
 Figure 3: Active mobile SIM penetration by country (excluding M2M), worldwide, 2010–2020
 Figure 4: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE’s share of total connections (excluding M2M), worldwide, 2014 and 2020
 Figure 5: Mobile ARPU by region and worldwide, 2010–2020
 Figure 6: Telecoms retail mobile revenue by service type and mobile ARPU, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 7: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
 Figure 8: Connections by type, and growth rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2014–2020
 Figure 9: Active mobile SIM penetration by country (excluding M2M), developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation (excluding M2M), and 3G and 4G’s share of connections, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 11: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, developed Asia–Pacific, 2020
 Figure 12: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE’s share of total connections (excluding M2M), developed Asia–Pacific, 2014 and 2020
 Figure 13: Mobile ARPU by country, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 14: Mobile, smartphone and 4G penetration rates, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 15: Mobile ARPU by type, developed Asia–Pacific, 2010–2020
 Figure 16: Summary of key mobile market drivers and assumptions, developed Asia–Pacific
 Figure 17: Total service revenue, data revenue and CAGR, Australia, 2014–2020
 Figure 18: Total service revenue, data revenue and CAGR, Hong Kong, 2014–2020
 Figure 19: Total service revenue, data revenue and CAGR, Singapore, 2014–2020
 Figure 20: Total service revenue, data revenue and CAGR, South Korea, 2014–2020
 Figure 21: Data, research principles and external factors that inform our forecasting methodology
  


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Reports Details

Published Date : May 2016
No. of Pages :34
Country :Global
Category :Telecommunications
Publisher :Analysys Mason Limited
Report Delivery By :Email
Report Delivery Time :12 to 24 hours after placing the order.

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