Introduction

 Retail Futures is a unique forecasting tool providing dynamic forecasts and analysis of market demand and price pressures every three months. Seven UK sectors forecasts are available (Clothing & Footwear, DIY & Gardening, Electricals, Furniture & Floorcoverings, Food & Grocery, Health & Beauty and Homewares). Also available is an e-Retail forecast and a Sector Summary report.

Scope

*Brief review of economic trends and how they impact retail, explaining how we believe key economic metrics will evolve over the next two years.

*Forecasts of how overall retail and retail sectors will fare over the next eight quarters, examining volume, inflation and overall growth rates.

*Category level forecasts are provided to fully inform growth strategies.

*Forecast for online retailing, analysing total online spend, split down into food and non-food.

Highlights

The recession has driven an increased polarisation of spend. While easing somewhat in food; the Big Four grocers having successfully enticed consumers back from discounters, this trend is most marked in non-food with mid-market retailers still being squeezed as consumers mix premium and value as they take a more cautious approach to spending.

The supermarkets are emerging as the big winners of the recession; benefitting from the essential nature of their core product offer and frugal consumers gravitating towards their non-food categories. While there are some positive results elsewhere, the majority of non-food sectors are suffering, especially discretionary home-related sectors.

Falling commodity prices, less seasonal price fluctuations and intense price competition are causing inflation in food to subside significantly. While inflationary pressures are mounting in non-food, price rises are being pursued with caution with discretionary consumer demand remaining weak.

Reasons to Purchase

*This unique service provides constantly updated forecasts that ensures you are making the right decisions, based on the latest data.

*Use reliable and informed data to identify opportunities for growth and as a key planning tool to aid tactical and strategic decision-making.

*Benchmark performance with confidence and set effective targets to help maximise performance.

 

OVERVIEW
About Verdict
Introduction
Scope
Methodology
Principle Sources
Definitions
Current Prices
Constant Prices
Volume Growth
Inflation
Total Growth
Percentage point difference with Total Retail
Help and tips to use the quarterly forecasts
Printing
Copying data to Excel
Viewing
Inserting slides into your own presentations
Executive Summary
List of Tables
Table 1: Principle sources of data and information
List of Figures
Figure 1: Verdict forecasting methodology