1.1 List of Tables 8 1.2 List of Figures 11 2 Executive Summary 14 2.1 Refinery Utilization in GCC Countries Has Remained Largely Unaffected Despite Global Economic Slowdown 14 2.2 National Oil Companies in GCC Countries Will Drive Refining Capacity Additions Till 2013 14 2.3 Changing Petroleum Product Consumption Pattern Globally Has Become a Major Challenge for GCC Refining Industry 15 2.4 Refineries in GCC Markets Are High In Capacity but Low in Complexity 15 2.5 Decline in Petroleum Product Demand Has Created an Uncertainty in the Market 15 3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparative Outlook 16 3.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Key Comparisons 16 3.1.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison Based on Total Refining Capacity Additions (MMTPA), 2000-13 17 3.1.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison Based on Net Refining Capacity Additions (MMTPA) and Growth Rate (%), 2009-13 18 3.1.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison Based on Total Petroleum Products Demand (Thousand Barrels/day), 2000-13 19 3.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Recent Trends 20 3.2.1 Refinery Utilization Rates in GCC Remained Unaffected Despite Global Economic Slowdown 20 3.2.2 National Priorities Necessitating Investment in the GCC Refining Industry 21 3.2.3 Complex Refineries That Can Process Heavy and Sour Crude is the Need of the Hour 23 3.2.4 Increasing Diesel Demand Mandates Higher Diesel Production across the Globe 23 3.2.5 Fluctuating Refining Margins 23 3.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Major Challenges 24 3.3.1 Decline in Petroleum Product Demand in Major Markets 24 3.3.2 High Construction Costs Have Traditionally Affected Growth of Refining Industry 24 4 Refining Markets in GCC Countries,Crude Oil Logistics 26 4.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Major Source Countries for Crude Oil 26 4.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Crude Oil Logistics 26 4.2.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Crude Oil Logistics, Major Oil Ports 26 4.2.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Crude Oil Logistics, Major Crude Oil Pipelines 28 4.2.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Crude Oil Logistics, Major Oil Storage terminals 31 5 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Processing Capacity and Complexity Analysis 33 5.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Refining Capacity by Market, 2000-13 33 5.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Configuration of Refineries 34 5.2.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Distribution of Refineries Based on Type, 2008 34 5.2.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Distribution of Refining Capacity (MMTPA) Based on Type, 2008 35 5.2.3 Future Trends in Refinery Configurations 36 5.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries by Market 36 5.3.1 Bahrain, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 36 5.3.2 Kuwait, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 37 5.3.3 Oman, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 37 5.3.4 Qatar, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 37 5.3.5 Saudi Arabia, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 37 5.3.6 United Arab Emirates, CDU Annual Capacity of Active Refineries (MMTPA), October 2009 37 5.4 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparative Positioning of Refineries by Market 38 5.4.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Positioning of Refineries Based on Capacity (MMTPA) and Complexity (NCI), 2008 38 5.4.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Positioning of Refineries Based on Conversion Ratio, 2008 39 5.5 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison based on Nelson Complexity Index and Conversion Ratio 40 5.5.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison Based on Nelson Complexity Index vis-à-vis Global Average 40 5.5.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Comparison Based on Conversion Ratio vis-à-vis Global Average 41 6 Refining Markets in GCC Countries,Refined Products Outlook and Trends 42 6.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis GDP Growth by Market, 2000-08 42 6.1.1 Bahrain, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 42 6.1.2 Kuwait, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 43 6.1.3 Oman, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 43 6.1.4 Qatar, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 44 6.1.5 Saudi Arabia, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 44 6.1.6 United Arab Emirates, Petroleum Product Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vis-à-vis GDP Growth (%), 2000-08 45 6.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth by Market, 2000-13 45 6.2.1 Bahrain, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 45 6.2.2 Kuwait, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 46 6.2.3 Oman, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 47 6.2.4 Qatar, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 48 6.2.5 Saudi Arabia, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 49 6.2.6 United Arab Emirates, Petroleum Product Consumption vis-à-vis Refining Capacity Growth (Thousand barrels per Day), 2000-13 50 6.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Gasoline Demand, Supply and Trade by Market, 2000-13 51 6.3.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Gasoline Production vs Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 51 6.3.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Gasoline Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vs Spread ($/Barrel), 2003- 08 57 6.3.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Gasoline Export and Import (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 58 6.4 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Diesel/Gas Oil Demand, Supply and Trade by Market, 2000-13 64 6.4.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Diesel/Gas Oil Production vs Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 64 6.4.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Diesel/Gas Oil Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vs Spread ($/Barrel), 2003- 08 69 6.4.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Diesel/Gas Oil Export and Import, 2000-13 70 6.5 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Jet Fuel/Kerosene Demand, Supply and Trade by Market, 2000-13 76 6.5.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Jet Fuel/Kerosene Production vs Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 76 6.5.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Jet Fuel/Kerosene Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vs Spread ($/Barrel), 2003- 08 82 6.5.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Jet Fuel/Kerosene Export and Import, 2000-13 83 6.6 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Fuel Oil Demand, Supply and Trade by Market, 2000-13 89 6.6.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Fuel Oil Production vs Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 89 6.6.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Fuel Oil Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day) vs Spread ($/Barrel), 2003- 08 95 6.6.3 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, Fuel Oil Export and Import (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 96 6.7 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, LPG Demand, Supply and Trade by Market, 2000-13 102 6.7.1 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, LPG Production vs Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 102 6.7.2 Refining Markets in GCC Countries, LPG Export and Import (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2000-13 108 7 Refining Markets in GCC Countries,Refinery Operation, |