Hungary Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Business Propensity Indicator, Market Trends, Regulation and Competitive Landscape

Summary

This report gives detailed information on the Hungary power market and assesses the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector. This includes a detailed analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector and over the next decade across 6 broad parameters. Each parameter has a weight assigned, and a weighted average score is calculated to obtain the final country ranking in that region. The study also maps the relative ranking of the key countries in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020.

This report also examines the country’s power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the market’s regulatory structure, supply and demand balance, import and export trends, competitive landscape and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided.

Scope

- Analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector across six parameters and over the next decade
- Relative ranking of the key country’s in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020.
- Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2011, forecast forward 18 years to 2030
- Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
- Data on key current and upcoming projects
- Information on grid interconnectivity, distribution losses and power exports and imports
- Policy and regulatory framework governing the market
- Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis
- Data sourced from proprietary databases and primary interviews with key participants across the value chain

Reasons to buy

- Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
- Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
- Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
- Identify key partners and business development avenues
- Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
- Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects

1
1  2
1.1 List of Tables 4
1.2 List of Figures 4
2 Introduction 5
2.1 Company Report Guidance 6
3 Business Propensity Indicator Methodology 7
3.1 Methodology Adopted For Evaluating the Business Propensity Indicator for Hungary 7
3.1.1 Capacity and Reserve Potential 7
3.1.2 Regulatory Scenario 8
3.1.3 Investment Scenario 8
3.1.4 Transmission and Distribution Infrastructure 10
3.1.5 Macroeconomic Scenario 10
3.1.6 Competitive Scenario 11
3.2 Methodology Adopted to Arrive at a Final Rank 13
4 Power Market, Hungary, Business Propensity Indicator 15
4.1 Capacity and Reserve Potential 16
4.2 Regulatory Scenario 16
4.3 Investment Scenario 17
4.4 Transmission and Distribution Infrastructure 17
4.5 Macroeconomic Factors 17
4.6 Competitive Scenario 18
4.7 Conclusion 18
4.8 Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 19
4.8.1 Present Ranking 19
4.8.2 Future Ranking 19
5 Hungary, Power Market Analysis, 2000-2030 20
5.1 Hungary, Power Market, Demand and Consumption Scenario 20
5.2 Hungary, Power Market, Import and Export Scenario 21
5.3 Hungary, Power Market, Annual Power Consumption, 2000-2030 22
5.4 Hungary, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 24
5.4.1 Cumulative Installed Capacity - Breakup by Type of Power Plant 24
5.4.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity -Total Value 25
5.4.3 Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 27
5.4.4 Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 29
5.4.5 Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 31
5.4.6 Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 33
5.5 Hungary, Power Market, Annual Power Generation, 2000-2030 35
5.5.1 Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 37
5.5.2 Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 39
5.5.3 Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2030 41
5.5.4 Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 43
6 Hungary, Power Market, Leading Active and Upcoming Projects 45
6.1 Hungary, Power Market, Active Power Projects 45
6.1.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 45
6.1.2 Leading Hydropower Projects 46
6.1.3 Leading Nuclear Commercial Reactors 46
6.1.4 Leading Renewable Power Projects 47
6.2 Hungary, Power Market, Upcoming Power Projects 48
6.2.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 48
6.2.2 Leading Renewable Power Projects 49
7 Hungary, Power Market, Regulatory Structure 50
7.1 Hungary, Power Market, Regulatory Structure Overview 50
7.1.1 Market Liberalization 50
7.1.2 Energy Efficiency 50
7.1.3 Renewable Energy Development 51
7.1.4 Hungarian Electricity Obligatory Off-take System 51
7.1.5 Nuclear Policy 52
8 Power Market, Hungary, Infrastructure 53
8.1 Power Market, Hungary, Infrastructure Overview 53
8.1.1 Grid Interconnections 54
8.1.2 Future Development Plans 55
8.1.3 Distribution Overview 55
9 Power Market, Hungary, Competitive Landscape - Snapshot of the Top Four Power Companies 57
9.1 Power Market, Hungary, Market Share of the Major Power Companies 57
9.2 Hungary, Power Market, Key Company - Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt 58
9.2.1 Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt., Company Overview 58
9.2.2 Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt., Business Description 58
9.2.3 Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt., SWOT Analysis 59
9.3 Hungary, Power Market, Key Company - GDF Suez SA 61
9.3.1 GDF Suez SA, Company Overview 61
9.3.2 GDF Suez SA, Business Description 61
9.3.3 GDF Suez SA, SWOT Analysis 63
9.4 Hungary, Power Market, Key Company - The AES Corporation 66
9.4.1 The AES Corporation, Company Overview 66
9.4.2 The AES Corporation, Business Description 66
9.4.3 The AES Corporation, SWOT Analysis 68
9.5 Hungary, Power Market, Key Company - Matrai Eromu ZRt 71
9.5.1 Matrai Eromu ZRt, Company Overview 71
9.5.2 Matrai Eromu ZRt, Business Description 71
9.5.3 Matrai Eromu ZRt, SWOT Analysis 72
10 Appendix 75
10.1 Definitions 75
10.1.1 Power 75
10.1.2 Installed Capacity 75
10.1.3 Electricity Generation 75
10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 75
10.1.5 Thermal Power 75
10.1.6 Hydro Power 75
10.1.7 Nuclear Power 75
10.1.8 Renewable Power 75
10.1.9 Market Size 75
10.2 Abbreviations 76
10.3 Company’s Methodology 77
10.3.1 Coverage 77
10.3.2 Secondary Research 77
10.3.3 Primary Research 77
10.3.4 Modeling and Forecasting 78
10.4 Contact Us 78
10.5 Disclaimer 78

1.1 List of Tables
 

Table 1: Ease of Doing Business-Categories and Subcategories 9
Table 2: Scoring Methodology for the Parameters 14
Table 3: Best Score for Present and Future Scenario 14
Table 4: Power Market, Hungary, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, by Sector (%), 2011 Estimate 20
Table 5: Power Market, Hungary, Total Annual Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 21
Table 6: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 23
Table 7: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 24
Table 8: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 26
Table 9: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 28
Table 10: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 30
Table 11: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 32
Table 12: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 34
Table 13: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 36
Table 14: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 38
Table 15: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 40
Table 16: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 42
Table 17: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 44
Table 18: Power Market, Hungary Leading Active Thermal Power Projects, 2011 45
Table 19: Power Market, Hungary Leading Active Hydropower Projects (MW), 2011 46
Table 20: Power Market, Hungary Leading Active Nuclear Commercial Reactors (MW), 2011 46
Table 21: Power Market, Hungary Leading Active Renewable Power Projects, 2011 47
Table 22: Power Market, Hungary, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Projects, 2011 48
Table 23: Power Market, Hungary Leading Upcoming Renewable Power Projects, 2011 49
Table 24: Power Market, Hungary, Feed-in-Tariffs for Plants Approved Prior to 2008 ( HUF per kW) 51
Table 25: Power Market, Hungary, Feed-in-Tariffs (HUF per kW) 52
Table 26: Power Market, Hungary, Transmission Line Length 53
Table 27: Power Market, Hungary, Settled Electricity Exports and Imports (GWh), 2010 54
Table 28: Power Market, Hungary, Physical Exports and Imports (GWh), 2010 54
Table 29: Power Market, Hungary, Electricity Exchange Prices (Euros), 2010 55
Table 30: Power Market, Hungary, Distribution Line Length 56
Table 31: Power Market, Hungary, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Companies (%), 2010 57
Table 32: Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt, SWOT Analysis 59
Table 33: GDF Suez SA, SWOT Analysis 63
Table 34: The AES Corporation, SWOT Analysis 68
Table 35: Matrai Eromu ZRt, SWOT Analysis 72
Table 36: Abbreviations 76

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Hungary, Business Propensity Indicator 15
Figure 2: Power Market, Hungary, Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 19
Figure 3: Power Market, Hungary, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, by Sector (%), 2011 Estimate 20
Figure 4: Power Market, Hungary, Total Annual Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 21
Figure 5: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 22
Figure 6: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 24
Figure 7: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 25
Figure 8: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 27
Figure 9: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 29
Figure 10: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 31
Figure 11: Power Market, Hungary, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 33
Figure 12: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 35
Figure 13: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 37
Figure 14: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 39
Figure 15: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 41
Figure 16: Power Market, Hungary, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 43
Figure 17: Power Market, Hungary, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Companies (%), 2010 57

Companies Mentioned

Magyar Villamos Muvek Rt
GDF Suez SA
The AES Corporation
Matrai Eromu ZRt