Chapter 1 Executive Summary
Scope
Global Fuel Usage and Efficiency
Figure 1-1: Realized Transportation Energy Efficiency Savings, Canada, 1990-2008 (Barrels of Oil Equivalent)
Internal Combustion Engines and Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines
Figure 1-2: United States Car and Light Truck Fuel Efficiency Standards (CAFE), 1978-2010
Existing and Anticipated Applications
Fuel Efficient ICE Systems: System Descriptions and Requirements
Table 1-1: Overview of EICE Technologies
Environmental and Social Benefits of Fuel Efficient ICEs
Figure 1-3: Percent of Fuel Consumed for EICEs versus Conventional ICEs, Per Unit Output
EICE Market Assessment
Engine Deactivation
Cylinder Deactivation
Variable Valve Timing and Lift
Turbochargers and Superchargers
Direct Fuel Injection
Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition
Reduced Displacement Engine
Hybrid and Partial Hybrid
Split Cycle Engines
Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Engines
Total EICE Market
Figure 1-4: Global Market for EICE Technologies (Billion US Dollars)
Industry Trends
Conventional ICE Cost Ranges
Figure 1-5: Engine Cost Ranges ($/Horsepower)
EICE Components Cost Ranges
Table 1-2: Additive Incremental Cost Data for EICE Systems, Based on Consumer Class Vehicles in the U.S. (Percent of Total Conventional ICE Cost)
Air Emissions Reduction
Table 1-3: Incremental CO2 Emission Reduction of Specialized Components and Auxiliary Systems Implementation
Figure 1-6: Vehicle Fuel Efficiency Standards for the U.S., European Union, Japan, and China, Including Enacted and Proposed Standards.
Balance of Power (Performance) and Efficiency
Research and Development
EICE Supply Chain
Figure 1-7: EICE Technologies Supply Chain
EICE Product Promotion
Job Creation
Table 1-4: Annual Worker Productivity Rates for EICE Technologies (Units Per Full Time Equivalent Per Year)
Figure 1-8: Annualized Jobs Creation for All EICE Technologies, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Competitive Profiles
EICE End Users
Table 1-5: EICE End User Categories
Figure 1-9: Per Capita Disposable Income, 2000 to 2010 (US Dollars)
Summary
Figure 1-10: Global Market for EICE Technologies (Billion US Dollars)
Chapter 2 Overview of Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines
Scope
Global Liquid Fuels Usage and Future Trends
Fuel Efficiency
Figure 2-1: Realized Transportation Energy Efficiency Savings, Canada, 1990-2008 (BOE)
Internal Combustion Engines: History and Applicability
Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines
Figure 2-2: United States Car and Light Truck Fuel Efficiency Standards (CAFE), 1978-2010
Existing and Anticipated Applications
Figure 2-3: Annual Passenger and Commercial Vehicle Production Rates, 2000 to 2010
Transportation and Automotive Industry
Power Generation
Construction Equipment Industry
Industrial Applications
Energy Resource Extraction
Materials Extraction and Processing
Industrial Process
Other
Fuel Efficient ICE Systems: System Descriptions and Requirements
Table 2-1: Overview of EICE Technologies
Cylinder Deactivation
Variable Valve Timing and Lift
Turbochargers and Superchargers
Direct Fuel Injection
Smaller Displacement Engines
Hybrid and Partial Hybrid Systems
Novel System Designs
Split Cycle Engines
Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Engines
High Efficiency Hybrid Cycle
Non-Engine Efficiency Technologies
Conventional Versus Efficient Internal Combustion Engines: Where to Draw the Line?
Environmental and Social Benefits of Fuel Efficient ICEs
Fuel Use Reduction and Cost Savings
Figure 2-4: Percent of Fuel Consumed for EICEs versus Conventional ICEs, Per Unit Output
Energy Security
Greenhouse Gas Benefits
Comparison to Other Competing Technologies
Summary
Chapter 3 Fuel Efficient Engines - Market Size and Growth
Scope
Market Assessment Methodology
Market Projections for ICE and EICE Technologies
Disclosure Regarding Data Uncertainty
Additional Market Valuation Factors
Market Origins, History, and Present Trends
The ICE Market Since 1900
Emergence and Development of the EICE Market
Public Perceptions
Recent Market Strength
Growth in EICE Demand in Other Sectors
Factors Affecting Market Size and Growth
GHG emissions reduction requirements, targets, and strategies
Fuel Efficiency
Table 3-1: Fuel Efficiency Measures
Table 3-2: Regional and National Fuel Economy and GHG Emissions Standards Summary for On-Road Vehicles
Role of alternative Fuels
Role of competing technologies
Research and development
Trends in global industrialization and development
EICE Technologies Markets
Figure 3-1: Global ICE Sales, All Industries, 2006-2011e (Millions of Units)
Review of the Global ICE Market
Figure 3-2: Global ICE Sales, Non-Vehicle End Uses, 2006-2011e (Thousands of Units)
Global Market for Specialized Components and Auxiliary Systems
Engine Deactivation
Table 3-3: Global Engine Deactivation Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-3: Engine Deactivation Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-4: Engine Deactivation Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-5: Engine Deactivation Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-6: Engine Deactivation Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Cylinder Deactivation
Table 3-4: Global Cylinder Deactivation Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-7: Cylinder Deactivation Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-8: Cylinder Deactivation Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-9: Cylinder Deactivation Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-10: Cylinder Deactivation Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Variable Valve Timing and Lift
Table 3-5: Global Variable Valve Timing and Lift Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-11: Variable Valve Timing and Lift Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-12: Variable Valve Timing and Lift Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-13: Variable Valve Timing and Lift Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-14: Variable Valve Timing and Lift Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Turbochargers and Superchargers
Table 3-6: Global Turbochargers Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-15: Turbocharger Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-16: Turbocharger Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-17: Turbocharger Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-18: Turbocharger Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Direct Fuel Injection
Table 3-7: Global Direct injection Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-19: Direct Injection Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-20: Direct Injection Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-21: Direct Injection Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-22: Direct Injection Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition
Table 3-8: Global HCCI Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-23: HCCI Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-24: HCCI Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-25: HCCI Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-26: HCCI Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Reduced Displacement Engine
Table 3-9: Global Reduced Displacement Engine Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-27: Reduced Displacement Engine Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-28: Reduced Displacement Engine Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-29: Reduced Displacement Engine Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-30: Reduced Displacement Engine Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Hybrid and Partial Hybrid
Table 3-10: Global Hybrid Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-31: Hybrid Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-32: Hybrid Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-33: Hybrid Regional Markets, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-34: Hybrid Key National Markets, 2006, 2011e, and 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Global Market for Novel System Designs
Split Cycle Engines
Table 3-11: Global Split Cycle Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-35: Split Cycle Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-36: Split Cycle Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-37: Split Cycle Regional Market, 2006-2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Engines
Table 3-12: Global Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Market, Historic and Projected, 2006 to 2021e (Millions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-38: Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Global Market, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-39: Split Cycle Global Market, Non-Vehicle Breakdown, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Figure 3-40: Regional Markets for Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Technologies, 2006 to 2021e (Billions of US Dollars)
Summary
Figure 3-41: Global Market for EICE Technologies (Billion US Dollars)
Chapter 4 Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines - Market and Product Trends
Scope
EICE Product Pricing: Specialized Components and Auxiliary Systems
Conventional ICE Cost Range
Figure 4-1: Engine Cost Ranges ($/Horsepower)
Figure 4-2: Engine Cost Ranges (Detail for Light Duty and Transport Industries; $/Horsepower)
EICE Cost: Specialized Components and Auxiliary Systems
Table 4-1: Additive Incremental Cost Data for EICE Systems, Based on Consumer Class Vehicles in the U.S. (Percent of Total Conventional ICE Cost)
Engine Deactivation
Figure 4-3: Engine Deactivation Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine (2011 Dollars)
Cylinder Deactivation
Figure 4-4: Cylinder Deactivation Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
Variable Valve Timing and Lift
Figure 4-5: Variable Valve Timing and Lift Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
Turbocharger or Supercharger
Figure 4-6: Turbocharger or Supercharger Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
Direct Fuel Injection
Figure 4-7: Direct Fuel Injection Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition
Figure 4-8: Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition Cost for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
Reduced Displacement Engine
Figure 4 - 9: Smaller Displacement Motor Cost for a Base 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine, with Application of 10% Capacity Reduction
Hybrid or Partial Hybrid
Figure 4-10: Hybrid or Partial Hybrid Cost Range for a 215 HP Light Duty/Consumer Truck Engine
EICE Product Trends and Pricing: Novel System Designs
Split Cycle Engines
Opposed Piston/Opposed Cylinder Engines
High Efficiency Hybrid Cycle
General Cost Factors
Industry Trends
Air Emissions Reduction: Greenhouse Gases
Figure 4-11: U.S. Domestic Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Fossil Fuel Combustion for Transportation and Total Annual Domestic Emissions
Table 4-2: Incremental CO2 Emission Reduction of Specialized Components and Auxiliary Systems Implementation
Figure 4-12: Vehicle Fuel Efficiency Standards for the U.S., European Union, Japan, and China, Including Enacted and Proposed Standards.
Air Emissions Reduction: Other Harmful Air Pollutants
Figure 4-13: Historic U.S. and European Light Duty Vehicle Emissions, Hydrocarbons and Nitrogen Oxides (grams/mile)
Figure 4-14: Historic U.S. and European Light Duty Vehicle Emissions, Carbon Monoxide (grams/mile)
Figure 4-15: Historic Trends in Emissions from New Diesel Engines Based on Applicable Standards in the U.S. (1970-2010).
Balance of Power (Performance) and Efficiency
Trends in Research and Development
Summary
Chapter 5 Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines - Supply Chain and Promotion
Scope
EICE Technologies Supply Chain
Overview of the EICE Technologies Supply Chain
Figure 5-1: EICE Technologies Supply Chain
Supply Chain Variants and Optimization
Figure 5-2: EICE Technologies: Supply Chain Variants
Supply Chain Greening
Table 5-1: Green Supply Chain Components
EICE Product Promotion
Promotion to Durable Goods Producers
Promotion to the End User
Promotion to Government and Regulators
Summary
Chapter 6 Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engines - Job Creation Estimates
Scope
Modes of Job Creation and Methodology
Figure 6-1: U.S. Automotive Sector Productivity, Autos Produced per Worker Full Time Equivalent, 2000 to 2010e
Table 6-1: Annual Worker Productivity Rates for EICE Technologies (Units Per Full Time Equivalent Per Year)
Job Creation Projections
Variable Valve Timing and Lift
Figure 6-2: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To Variable Valve Timing and Lift Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Turbochargers
Figure 6-3: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To Turbocharger Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Direct Fuel Injection
Figure 6-4: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To Direct Injection Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition
Figure 6-5: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To HCCI Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Reduced Displacement Engines
Figure 6-6: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To HCCI Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Hybrid Systems
Figure 6-7: Annualized Jobs Creation and Loss Due To Hybrid Systems Technology Production, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
Summary
Figure 6-8: Annualized Jobs Creation for All EICE Technologies, 2007 to 2021e (Full Time Equivalent Jobs Created or Lost Per Year)
References
Chapter 7 Competitive Profiles
Scope
Methodology and Selection of Profiles
Cargine
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Chrysler
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-1: Chrysler Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Cummins
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-2: Cummins Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Daimler
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Figure 7-3: Daimler Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Company News and Developments
Delphi Automotive Systems, LLC
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Detroit Diesel Corporation
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Ecomotors
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Ford Motor Company
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Figure 7-4: Ford Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Company News and Developments
General Electric
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-5: General Electric Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
General Motors
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-6: General Motors Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Honeywell
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Figure 7-7: Honeywell Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
LiquidPiston
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Navistar
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-8: Navistar Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Pinnacle
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Revtec
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Transonic Combustion
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Volvo
Overview
Performance
Figure 7-9: Volvo Annual Revenues, 2007-2011e
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Zajac Motors
Overview
Performance
Product Portfolio
Company News and Developments
Chapter 8 Fuel Efficient Internal Combustion Engine End Users
Scope
Fuel Efficient ICE End Users
Table 8-1: EICE End User Categories
End Users for Consumer Durables
Figure 8-1: Per Capita Disposable Income, 2000 to 2010 (US Dollars)
Figure 8-2: U.S. Personal Consumption: Per Capita Spending on Motor Vehicles and Parts, 2000 to 2011e (2005 US Dollars)
Figure 8-3: Per Capita Disposable Income, 2000 to 2009 (US Dollars; China Urban Population Only)
End Users for the Transport Industry
End Users for Industrial Technologies
Figure 8-4: Industrial Productivity Index, Normalized to 2005 Industrial Productivity (2005 to 2011e)
End Users for Agriculture
Figure 8-5: Commodity Food Price Index, 2001 to 2011
Summary |