The global fiber optic connector/mechanical splice consumption is driven by a dramatic increase in bandwidth demand beyond the limits of copper. Technological advances in fiber optics are assuring the migration of fiber closer and closer to the end user. This translates into demand for shorter links where connectors represent a substantial share of the total installation cost. The cost concerns are being addressed with the introduction of smaller, lower cost and easier to install connectors. Multifiber connector (>2 fibers) use, still relatively small, will be the choice for high fiber density interconnects applications.

This report provides the Consumption Value (US$, million), Quantity (number/units), and Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each). The value is determined by multiplying the number of units by the average selling price. The ASPs are based on the price of the connector/splice at the initial factory level. This 2008-2013 forecast is presented for each significant fiber optic connector and mechanical splice used in selected communication applications. The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:

- Americas (North America, Central and South America)
- EMEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa)
- APAC (Asia Pacific)

The global fiber optic connector and mechanical splice consumption in 2008 was US$1.658 billion. The consumption value will increase with strongly rising quantity growth partially offset by declining average prices; however, due to the multi-industry worldwide economic crisis, the forecast is relatively flat for 2009. By the year 2013, the worldwide consumption value is forecast to reach $2.5 billion. The Americas (South, Central and North America) led in global consumption with 58 percent or $962 million in 2008. American consumption will expand in value to nearly $1.4 billion by 2013

The market forecast data are built up from specific end-user applications:

Total Consumption
Telecommunications
Apparatus
Utilities
Modules/Components
Private Data LAN/WAN
Apparatus
Modules/Components
Cable TV
Apparatus
Modules/Components
Military/Aerospace
Specialty
Non-production

The market forecast data are also built up from specific product-type segments:

Single Mode Fiber Optic Connector
ST Simplex
FC Simplex
SC Simplex
Small Form Factor (SFF) Simplex Connector
SFF LC Simplex
SFF MU Simplex
SFF Other Simplex
Single mode Adapter
In-series Adapter
Between-series Adapter
Single mode Multi-channel/Multi-fiber Connector
MT Based
SFF Duplex Connector
SFF Duplex MT-RJ
SFF Other Duplex
Other Multi-fiber Connector
Other Single mode Fiber Optic Connectors, including Mil-Spec

Multimode Fiber Optic Connectors
ST Simplex
SC Simplex
Small Form Factor (SFF) Simplex Connector
SFF LC Simplex
SFF MU Simplex
SFF Other Simplex
Adapter
In-series Adapter
Between-series Adapter
Multi-channel/Multi-fiber Connector
ESCON
MT Based
FDDI
SFF Duplex Connector
SFF Duplex MT-RJ
SFF VF-45 Duplex
SFF Other Duplex
Other Multi-fiber Connector
Other Multimode Fiber Optic Connectors, including Mil-Spec
Mechanical Splices
 

1. Executive Summary 1-1
1.1 Fiber Optic Connectors/ Mechanical Splice Overview 1-1
1.2 Fusion Splice Equipment Overview 1-10
1.3 Enterprise Optical Communication Network— Protocol Overview 1-17
1.4 Broadband and FTTP Overview 1-27
1.5 Fiber Optics Industry: Decade-to-Decade 1-69
2. Fiber Optic Connector/Mechanical Splice 2-1
2.1 Global Market Overview 2-1
2.2 The Americas: Connector/Mechanical Splice 2-39 2-39
2.2.1 American Market Forecast, by Type 2-39
2.2.2 American Market Forecast, by Application 2-44
2.3 EMEA: Connector/Mechanical Splice 2-50 2-63
2.3.1 EMEA Market Forecast, by Type 2-50
2.3.2 EMEA Market Forecast, by Application 2-54
2.4 APAC: Connector/Mechanical Splice 2-61
2.4.1 APAC Market Forecast, by Type 2-61
2.4.2 APAC Market Forecast, by Application 2-65
3. Optical Communication Trends 3-1
3.1 Fiber Network Technology Trends 3-1
3.2 Components 3-8
3.2.1 Overview 3-8
3.2.2 Transmitters and Receivers 3-8
3.2.3 Optical Amplifiers 3-8
3.2.4 Dispersion Compensators 3-9
3.2.5 Fiber Cable 3-10
3.3 Devices and Parts 3-12
3.3.1 Overview 3-12
3.3.2 Emitters and Detectors 3-12
3.3.3 VCSEL & Transceiver Technology Review 3-13
3.3.4 Optoelectronic Application-Specific Integrated Circuits 3-34
3.3.5 Modulators 3-34
3.3.6 Packages 3-34
.3.7 Optoelectronic Integrated Circuits 3-35
4. Competitive Market Share and List of Selected Vendors 4-1 4-1
5. Methodology 5-1
5.1 Research and Analysis Methodology 5-1
5.2 Assumptions of Fiber Optic Component Global Market Forecast 5-4
6. Definitions 6-1
6.1 Acronyms, Abbreviations, and General Terms 6-1
7. Market Forecast Data Base; Overview and Tutorial 7-1
Addendum Market Forecast Data Base – Excel Spreadsheets
Americas, EMEA, APAC, Global Summary
Addendum PowerPoint Slides (Data Figures)

List of Figures

1.1.1 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Value Forecast, by Region ($, Million) 1-2
1.1.2 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Value Forecast, by Type ($, Million) 1-7
1.1.3 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Value Forecast, by Application ($, Million) 1-9
1.2.1 Single-Fiber Core-To-Core Alignment 1-12
1.2.2 Multiple-Fiber Cladding-to-Cladding Alignment 1-12
1.2.3 Examples of Differences in Optical Fiber (Core and Cladding) Alignment 1-13
1.2.4 Furukawa Electric FS122M8/M12 (Fusion Splice) 1-15
1.3.1 Typical Gigabit Product Deployment 1-21
1.3.2 TIA-942 Standard: Basic Data Center Topology 1-26
1.4.1 Access Network Elements 1-27
1.4.2 Fiber-to-the-Office Forecast Structure
1.4.3 Cogent Communication’s Multi-National IP Network 1-31
1.4.4 Broadband-to-the-Premise 1-36
1.4.5 Fully Reconfigurable OADM 1-38
1.4.6 FTTU-PON System 1-44
1.4.7 FTTP PON Architecture 1-45
1.5.2.1 Evolution of Research Emphasis during Technology Life Cycle 1-75
1.5.2.2 Evolving to the All-Optical Network 1-76
1.5.2.3 AON – Technology Demonstration Roadmap 1-78
1.5.2.4 AON – Test-bed Network Platform 1-79

2.1.1 Fiber Distribution Hub 2-2
2.1.2 Fiber Distribution Hub 2-3
2.1.3 Fiber Distribution Terminal 2-4
2.1.4 Selected Fiber Optic Connectors 2-8 to 2-14
2.1.5 The LC Uniboot 2-15
2.1.6 4X Optical Connector 2-16
2.1.7 40-Gigabit optical active Cable (OAC) 2-18
2.1.8 Quad Small Form-factor Pluggable (QSFP) MSA Solution 2-19
2.1.9 Ruggedized fiber-optic connector system 2-21
2.1.10 Dry Cloth Cleaner 2-23
2.1.11 Cleaners for Single Fiber Connections 2-24
2.1.12 Pre-Polished Field Installable Connectors 2-26
2.1.13 Connector Sales/Distribution Product Flow 2-28

3.1.1 Network Bandwidth Expansion Alternatives 3-1
3.1.2 Multifiber Transmitters 3-6
3.1.3 Flexible Optical Backplane 3-6
3.3.3.1 Genealogy of VCSELs 3-14
3.3.3.2 Optical Subassembly (OSA) 3-15
3.3.3.3 10 Gbps VCSEL Optical Subassembly 3-16
3.3.3.4 4 x 3.125 Gbps WWDM SFF Transceiver Concept 3-18
3.3.3.5 Assembled Non-Functional 4 x 3.125 Gbps WWDM SFF Concept Module 3-19
3.3.3.6 WWDM Transceiver, Transmit Side Optical Combiner 3-19
3.3.3.7 WWDM Demultiplexing Subassembly 3-20
3.3.3.8 CWDM VCSEL Transceiver (8-wavelength diagram) 3-21
3.3.3.9 4-Channel VCSEL Transceiver 3-22
3.3.3.10 OptoCube 40 3-23
3.3.3.11 Array VCSEL Interconnects between Cabinets or Racks 3-25
3.3.3.12 12 x 2.5 Gbps VCSEL Transceiver Package 3-26
3.3.3.13 Pre-terminated Ribbon Cable Assembly 3-26
3.3.3.14 Optical Backplane Implementation 3-27
3.3.3.15 Typical Intra-Office Interconnections 3-28
3.3.3.16 12 Fiber VSR Architecture 3-30
3.3.3.17 Converter ASIC Function 3-30
3.3.3.18 12-Fiber VSR Module vs. OC-192 SONET Line Card 3-31
3.3.3.19 4 Fiber VSR Architecture 3-31
3.3.7.1 Trend of Transceiver Packaging Density, Gigabits/Cubic Inch 3-41
3.3.7.2 Xanoptix 32x32 Datacom Transceiver 3-42
3.3.7.3 Integrated Transceiver/Silicon Waveguides 3-43
5.1.1 Market Research & Forecasting Methodology 5-4

List of Tables

1.1.1 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Consumption Forecast, by Region ($, Million) 1-1
1.1.2 Fiber Optic Connector Application Category List 1-4
1.1.3 Fiber Optic Connector Category List 1-5
1.1.4 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption Forecast, by Type ($, Million) 1-7
1.1.5 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption Forecast, by Application ($, Million) 1-8
1.2.1 Fusion Splicer (Type) Preference, by Application 1-14
1.3.1 Ethernet Standards Suite 1-18
1.3.2 IEEE Distance Specifications for Fiber-Optic Ethernet by Fiber Type 1-19
1.3.3 Migration or Upgrade Scenarios to Gigabit Ethernet 1-20
1.4.1 Minimum & Ideal Speeds Necessary for Popular Applications 1-36
1.4.2 Selected PON Comparison
1.4.3 Latin American Demographic Trends 1-68

2.1.1 Fiber Optic Connector Application Category List 2-6
2.1.2 Fiber Optic Connector Category List 2-7
2.1.3 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Consumption Value, by Region (US$, Million) 2-29
2.1.4 Global Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Consumption, by Region (Quantity Basis) 2-30
2.1.5 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Type (Value Basis, $ Million) 2-30
2.1.6 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Type (Quantity Basis) 2-31
2.1.7 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Type (Average Selling Price, $/Each) 2-32
2.1.8 Selected Standards For Fiber Optic Connectors 2-34 to 2-35
2.1.9 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Application ($ Million) 2-37
2.1.10 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Application (Quantity Basis) 2-38
2.1.11 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice Global Consumption, by Application (Average Price, $/Each) 2-38
2.2.1.1 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice American Consumption, by Type ($ Million) 2-40
2.2.1.2 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice American Consumption, by Type (Quantity Basis) 2-40
2.2.1.3 Singlemode Fiber Optic Connector American Consumption, by Type ($ Million) 2-42
2.2.1.4 Fiber Optic Multimode Connector American Consumption, by Type ($ Million) 2-43
2.2.2.1 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice American Consumption, by Application ($ Million) 2-45
2.2.2.2 Fiber Optic Connector/Splice American Consumption, by Application (Quantity Basis) 2-45
2.2.2.3 Singlemode Connector American Market Forecast, by Application ($Million) 2-46
2.2.2.4 Singlemode Connector American Market Forecast, by Application (Quantity Basis) 2-46
2.2.2.5 Multimode Connector American Market Forecast, by Application ($ Million) 2-47
2.2.2.6 Multimode Connector American Market Forecast, by Application (Quantity Basis) 2-48
2.2.2.7 Fiber Optic Mechanical Splice American Forecast, by Application ($ Million) 2-49