|
|
Connector Industry Forecast |
| Published Date : 1 November 2010 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bishop & Associates publishes two connector forecasts each year. Each eight-chapter report provides an in-depth, and detailed forecast of the worldwide connector Industry. In addition to the detailed forecasts for each region of the world (North America, Europe, Japan, China, Asia Pacific, ROW), an industry overview is included which provides current market trends, industry book-to-bill ratios, and outlook narrative.
Worldwide and each regional forecast includes:
Computers & Peripherals
Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment
Retail/POS Equipment
Imaging Systems
Other Business/Office Equipment
Instrumentation
Automatic Test Equipment
Analytical/Scientific Instruments
Other Instrumentation
Medical Equipment
Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial
Industrial Controls
Production Equipment
Automotive
Body Wiring & Power Distribution
Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation
Safety & Security
Transportation (non-auto)
Commercial Vehicles
RV's & Power Sports
A., M., R., Construction, and Farm and Garden
Military/Aerospace
Telecom/Datacom
Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Other Telecommunications
Consumer
Personal/Portable Consumer
Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment
Setting Historical Lows
We believed the 2001/2002 downturn would be the historical low water mark for the connector industry for decades. After all, 2001 declined -19.1 percent and 2002 was down -9.6 percent. Total world connector sales were $34.878 billion in 2000, and only $25.492 billion in 2002, meaning the connector industry lost $9.4 billion in annual sales. In effect, the 2002 industry was 27 percent smaller than is was in 2000.
The 2008/2009 downturn is worse. In August 2009, the last date we have as of this publication date, year-over-year orders are down -33.5 percent, and sales are down -32.4 percent. Orders were actually cut in half in January (-50.3 percent). The following chart clearly shows how deeply orders plummeted when measured on a year-over-year basis.
It is clear that orders and sales have declined more in the 2008/2009 downturn. Conversely, since May 2008, orders have pushed above the 2001/2002 levels. Sales have been above 2001/2002 levels in June, July and August. It actually appears that we are moving quickly toward year-over-year growth.
The following table shows industry performance by quarter for 2007, 2008 and 2009. The results shown in the table for 3Q09 and 4Q09 (red) are Bishop forecasts.
|
Quarter |
2007 |
2008 |
Percent Change |
2009 |
Percent Change |
|
1st Quarter |
$10,261 |
$11,451 |
11.6% |
$7,363 |
-35.7% |
|
2nd Quarter |
$10,573 |
$11,895 |
12.5% |
$8,069 |
-32.2% |
|
3rd Quarter |
$10,861 |
$11,550 |
6.3% |
$8,472 |
-26.6% |
|
4th Quarter |
$11,126 |
$9,081 |
-18.4% |
$9,079 |
0.0% |
|
Total |
$42,821 |
$43,977 |
2.7% |
$32,983 |
-25.0% |
$ Millions
Red Numbers = Forecast
In effect, we believe 4Q09 will be approximately equal to sales achieved in 4Q08. Getting back to even after the disastrous last four quarters is significant. We are actually beginning to believe the industry might do better than this forecast and achieve modest year-over-year growth in 4Q09.
Here’s how we expect 2009 to perform by geographic region. We included year-to-date August sales results so you can see the improvement required in 4Q09 for each region to meet our forecast.
|
Region |
2008 |
2009F |
Percent Change |
Year-to-Date August |
|
North America |
$9,432 |
$7,074 |
-25.0% |
-32.3% |
|
Europe |
$11,935 |
$7,975 |
-33.2% |
-43.3% |
|
Japan |
$6,891 |
$4,823 |
-30.0% |
-39.2% |
|
China |
$7,629 |
$6,485 |
-15.0% |
19.9% |
|
Asia Pacific |
$5,001 |
$4,000 |
-20.0% |
-30.8% |
|
ROW |
$3,089 |
$2,626 |
-15.0% |
-32.7% |
|
Total |
$43,977 |
$32,983 |
-25.0% |
-32.4% |
$ Millions
The following Table of Contents shows the depth and detail provided in each Connector Industry Forecast |
|
|
|
Table of Contents : |
Chapter 1 - Forecast Overview
Setting Historical Lows
Overview
2009 Outlook
August Bookings by Region
Industry Sales by Quarter
Connector Industry Forecast by Geographic Region
2009 Industry Forecast by Market Sector
Five-Year Outlook (2009-2013)
World Connector Market Forecast by Region
World Connector Market Forecast by Equipment Sector
Market Outlook & Notes
Automotive Sector
World View
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia-Pacific
ROW
2009 World Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Transportation Sector
World View
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia-Pacific
ROW
2009 World Transportation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Instrumentation Sector
Market Segments
Global Market Conditions
Market Trends
Developing Trends
2009 World Instrumentation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Telecom Sector
World View
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia Pacific
ROW
2009 World Telecom/Datacom Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Medical Equipment Sector
World View
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia Pacific
ROW
2009 World Medical Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Computers – Peripherals Sector
Overview
Personal Computers
Gartner Research Preliminary Forecast – 2009 World PC Unit Shipments
PC Events
Servers
IDC Worldwide Server Factory Revenues
Cloud Computing and Virtualization Segments
Computer PeripheralsConnector Content
2009 World Computer And Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Consumer Sector
Consumer Electronics Market’s Weathering of the Great Recession
Will Consumer Electronics Run-Up Continue, i.e. High Demand New Products?
How Much And How Long Will The Financial Meltdown Impact Consumer Spending?
Will High Ticket Consumer Electronics Product Demand Continue In A Down Market?
World Mobile Phone Sales to End Users in 2Q0
U.S. Consumer Electronics Forecast 2005-10
U.S. Appliance Market 1999-
Consumer Electronics Connector Market:
The General Character Of The Consumer Electronics Connector Market In 2009 Is as Follows
“USB 3.0 Market Penetration by 2010
“Windows 7 Will Initially Be Without USB 3.0 Support?
2009 World Consumer Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Business/Office Equipment Sector
Office Equipment Market Segments Include:
Fortune Magazine Top Companies In Office Equipment
1Q09 Printer, Copier and Multi-Function Market by Supplier in Units
Key Points In This Market
Some Current Developments
Connector Applications
2009 World Business/Office Equipment Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Industrial Equipment Sector
World View
Manufacturers Of Industrial Control And Process Control Equipment
Financial Results By Leading Control Equipment Manufacturers
Manufacturers Of Industrial Control And Process Control Equipment
Financial Results By Leading Industrial Equipment Manufacturers
Oil Companies, Refineries, Offshore Business And Related Energy Markets
Financial Results By Leading Oil Companies
Outlook 2009/2010
Regional View
North America
North American Industrial Connector Market Forecast
Europe
Industrial New Orders Compared To Same Month Last Year (%)
Industrial New Orders Compared To Previous Month (%)
European Industrial Connector Market Forecast
Japanese Industrial Connector Market Forecast
China
GDP Growth Rate In China For 1st-3rd Quarter
Chinese Industrial Connector Market Forecast
Asia Pacific
Asian Pacific Industrial Connector Market Forecast
ROW
ROW Industrial Connector Market Forecast
2009 World Industrial Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Military/Aerospace Sector
Connector Trends In The Military/Aerospace Sector
Connector Outlook
World View
Regional View
North America
Europe
Japan
China
Asia-Pacific
ROW
2009 World Military/Aerospace Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
Chapter 2 - World Connector Forecast
World Connector Market Forecast – Year-to-Year Percent Change
World Connector Market Forecast – Year-to-Year Dollar Change
World Connector Market Forecast by Region
Year-to-Year Change by Region
Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
2008-2009 Percent Change & Five-Year CAGR
2008 & 2013 Market Share by Equipment Sector
World End-Use Equipment Forecast – Detail
Computers & Peripherals
Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment
Retail/POS Equipment
Imaging Systems
Other Office Equipment
Instrumentation
Automatic Test Equipment
Analytical & Scientific Instruments
Other Instruments
Medical
Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial
Industrial Controls
Production Equipment
Automotive
Body Wiring & Power Distribution
Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation
Safety & Security
Transportation
Medium & Heavy Trucks & Busses
Motorcycles/Off-Road & Recreational Vehicles
Comm./General Aircraft, Rail & Marine Electronics
Military
Telecom/Datacom
Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Mobile & Wireless
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
Other Telecommunications
Consumer
Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment
World End-Use Equipment Forecast by Region
Computers & Peripherals
Business/Retail/Education Equipment
Instrumentation Equipment
Medical Equipment
Industrial Equipment
Automotive
Transportation Equipment
Military/Aerospace Equipment
Telecom/Datacom Equipment
Consumer Equipment
Other Equipment
Chapter 3 - North American Connector Forecast
North American Forecast – Year-to-Year Percent Change
North American Forecast – Year-to-Year Dollar Change
Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
2008-2009 Percent Change & Five-Year CAGR
2008 & 2013 Market Share by Equipment Sector
North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
Computers & Peripherals
Mobile Computers
Desktops
Servers
Storage Equipment
Input/Output Equipment
Communication LAN Devices
Other Computer Equipment
Business/Office Equipment
Retail/POS Equipment
Imaging Systems
Other Office Equipment
Instrumentation
Automatic Test Equipment
Analytical & Scientific Instruments
Other Instruments
Medical
Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
Therapeutic Equipment
Other Medical Equipment
Industrial
Industrial Controls
Production Equipment
Automotive
Body Wiring & Power Distribution
Powertrain
Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
Navigation & Instrumentation3
Safety & Security
Transportation
Medium & Heavy Trucks & Busses
Motorcycles/Off-Road & Recreational Vehicles
Comm./General Aircraft, Rail & Marine Electronics
Military
Telecom/Datacom
Carrier Network
Enterprise Network
Mobile & Wireless
Wireless Infrastructure
Subscriber Equipment
Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
Other Telecommunications
Consumer
Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
Home Video Equipment
Home Audio Equipment
Consumer White Goods
Other Consumer
Other Equipment
Chapters 4 Thru 8 Provide The Same Detail Level As Chapter 3
Chapter 4 - European Connector Forecast
Chapter 5 - Japanese Connector Forecast
Chapter 6 - Chinese Connector Forecast
Chapter 7 - Asia Pacific Connector Forecast
Chapter 8 - ROW Connector Forecast
|
|
|
|
Published By : Bishop & Associates |
|
|
Related
Keywords:
Energy,
Insurance, Financial,
Company Profile,
Industry Profile,
Swot Analysis,
Apparel,
Consumer, Trade,
Information technology,
Food,
Healthcare,
Construction,
Retail,
Design,Oil
and Gas,
Solar,
Miscellaneous,
Business,
Pharmaceuticals,
Technology,
Defense,
Medical,
Travel,
Power,
Metal
|
|
|
|
