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The Global telecoms market: interim forecast update 20142019

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Worldwide telecoms service revenue will continue to grow and will reach USD1.79 trillion in 2019, driven by increasing service penetration in emerging markets and mobile handset data spending in developed regions. This report provides an update of our 5-year forecast of more than 100 mobile and fixed KPIs for the worldwide telecoms market.

 6.Executive summary
 7.Global telecoms revenue will continue to grow through 2019, driven by emerging markets and mobile handset data in developed regions
 8.Mobile handset data services will have the highest revenue growth by far in all regions and offer significant monetisation opportunities
 9.Retail revenue will grow in all regions through 2019 except Europe where price competition and regulation is more intense; NA will peak in 2017
 10.Smartphones and LTE: Smartphone adoption will maintain momentum in emerging markets, but LTE will be mainly confined to developed markets
 11.Key changes since our previous forecast: LTE take-up is faster than anticipated in many markets and will accelerate the shift to data services
 12.Forecast revision: The revenue growth outlook is almost unchanged, but currency depreciation drove a revision to the 2013 revenue base
 13.Individual regional forecasts
 14.Central and Eastern Europe: The revenue forecast is almost unchanged, but the shift from voice to data is faster than expected
 15.Central and Eastern Europe: Revenue has already peaked in most markets – Turkey will be the last to peak, in 2017
 16.Developed Asia–Pacific: Historical revenue has been revised downwards, but the growth outlook has improved
 17.Developed Asia–Pacific: Revenue will grow in most markets through 2019; IPTV take-up is fast and will drive fixed revenue
 18.Emerging Asia–Pacific: The revenue forecast is almost unchanged, but fixed–mobile voice substitution will accelerate
 19.Emerging Asia–Pacific: China will have the fastest-growing market and handset data will generate 69% of its revenue growth
 20.Latin America: Revenue has been revised downwards because of currency depreciation, but the outlook for growth has improved
 21.Latin America: The two largest markets, Brazil and Mexico, will grow slowly because of competition
 22.Middle East and North Africa: Smartphone take-up is accelerating and will drive handset data revenue growth faster than anticipated
 23.Middle East and North Africa: GCC countries will account for most of the region’s revenue growth through 2019, led by Qatar
 24.North America: Revenue will grow until 2017, driven by data services, but we have revised historical fixed revenue downwards
 25.North America: The USA dominates the NA telecoms market, and both markets will grow until 2017
 26.Sub-Saharan Africa: Historical revenue figures and forecasts have been revised down because of currency depreciation
 27.Sub-Saharan Africa: Fixed telecoms will remain insignificant, but mobile revenue will grow further because penetration is still low
 28.Western Europe: The improved outlook for LTE, handset data usage and fixed broadband ARPU has helped to boost revenue
 29.Western Europe: The UK market will be the most resilient, while southern European countries will continue to under-perform
 30.About the authors and Analysys Mason
 31.About the authors
 32.About Analysys Mason


List Of Figures

 Figure 1: Summary of report coverage
 Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, worldwide, 2009–2019
 Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue growth by service type, worldwide, 2013–2019
 Figure 4: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2013–2019) and market size by total retail revenue (2019), by region, worldwide
 Figure 5: Smartphones as a percentage of handsets, and LTE’s share of total connections (excluding M2M), worldwide, 2013 and 2019
 Figure 6: Summary of major changes compared with our June 2014 worldwide forecast
 Figure 7: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, worldwide, 2013 and 2018
 Figure 8: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, worldwide, 2013–2018
 Figure 9: Connections by type, and growth rates, worldwide, 2013–2018
 Figure 10: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Central and Eastern Europe, 2009–2019
 Figure 11: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Central and Eastern Europe
 Figure 12: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013–2019
 Figure 13: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, developed Asia–Pacific, 2009–2019
 Figure 14: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, developed Asia–Pacific
 Figure 15: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, developed Asia–Pacific, 2013–2019
 Figure 16: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2009–2019
 Figure 17: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, emerging Asia–Pacific
 Figure 18: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2019
 Figure 19: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Latin America, 2009–2019
 Figure 20: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Latin America
 Figure 21: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, Latin America, 2013–2019
 Figure 22: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Middle East and North Africa, 2009–2019
 Figure 23: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Middle East and North Africa
 Figure 24: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2019
 Figure 25: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, North America, 2009–2019
 Figure 26: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, North America
 Figure 27: Telecoms service revenue by country, North America, 2009–2019
 Figure 28: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2009–2019
 Figure 29: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Sub-Saharan Africa
 Figure 30: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2013–2019
 Figure 31: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), new and previous forecasts, Western Europe, 2009–2019
 Figure 32: Summary of major changes compared with our previous forecast, Western Europe
 Figure 33: CAGRs for telecoms service revenue by country, Western Europe, 2013–2019


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Reports Details

Published Date : Feb 2015
No. of Pages :33
Country :Global
Category :Information Technology
Publisher :Analysys Mason Limited
Report Delivery By :Email
Report Delivery Time :12 to 24 hours after placing the order.

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