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Natural Gas Supply Outlook

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Description
 
 This report deals with the supply chain for natural gas, from the production stage, through processing and transportation, to distribution and consumption by industrial and retail customers.
 It describes and explains how supply works and its key features in the European, US and Chinese markets.
 
 It then looks at the future for natural gas, under a range of future scenarios covering then next ten years, including an optimistic scenario where increased economic activity has driven up the price of energy, a ‘base’ scenario of activity remaining at recent levels and a negative scenario of low economic activity and energy prices. In each case it looks at the likely structure of natural gas supply in the different regions.
 
 US
 
 Shale gas will account for nearly half of total US gas production by 2040. Production volumes will continue to grow because of increased drilling efficiencies and more shale gas fields coming on stream.
 The increased production is expected to decrease the country’s dependence on imports from Canada. LNG exports from the US are expected to increase beginning 2016.
 Use of natural gas in sectors other than electrical power production is expected to expand in the medium term. The fertilizer and chemical sector industries particularly are expected to start new projects driving long term demand.
 
 Europe
 
 Europe is likely to see declining local production and increasing imports from areas such as West Africa the US, Canada and North Africa, resulting in more LNG supply. Thus two thirds of Europe’s natural gas needs are expected to be met by imports by the year 2025. With local production volumes expected to decline, and issues over the security of Russian gas, LNG imports are projected to approximately double between 2014 and 2020.
 
 Due to the rise in investments in infrastructure, in particular new pipeline projects and the increased use of LNG, gas prices in Europe are likely to increase up to 2020. Prices are expected to stabilise beyond 2020.
 Increases in natural gas consumption in Europe will be driven mainly by demand from the residential-commercial and industrial sectors from southern Europe and Turkey in 2015-25.
 
 China
 
 China’s National Energy Administration (NEA) set the 2020 production target of shale gas at 30 billion cubic meters (1 trillion cubic feet), however TBRC believes much of China’s unconventional gas reserves may prove difficult or impossible to exploit during this time frame.
 
 By 2020, pipelines from Central Asia, Myanmar, Russia and imported liquefied natural gas mainly from Qatar and Australia are expected to play a major role in supplying a large part of China’s gas.
 As China tries to wean itself from its use of cheap coal gas is likely to play a larger part in the energy consumption mix. The Chinese government expects to increase natural gas’s share of total energy consumption to around 8% by the end of 2015 and to 10% by 2020. BP plc predicts that China’s natural gas consumption will rise 270% by 2035.

 Natural Gas Supply Outlook 2
 Introduction 5
 Notes on the Scope of the Report 6
 Geographical Scope 6
 Chronological Scope 7
 The Natural Gas Supply Chain 8
 The Natural Gas Supply Chain In The North American Market 12
 Production 12
 Geographies 13
 Price 15
 Processing 16
 Price 17
 Shipping 17
 Price 23
 Distribution 25
 Marketing 25
 The Natural Gas Supply Chain In The European Market 27
 Production 27
 Geographies 29
 Price 31
 Processing 31
 Price 32
 Shipping 32
 Price 35
 Distribution 35
 Price 36
 Marketing 36
 The Natural Gas Supply Chain In China 39
 Production 39
 Processing 42
 Shipping 42
 Distribution 45
 Price 46
 Gas Market Scenario Forecasts to 2025 Based on Different Economic Scenarios 48
 Natural Gas Supply Chain in the North American Market To 2025 49
 North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Medium Economic Scenario 49
 North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario 53
 North American Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario 54
 Natural Gas Supply Chain in the European Market To 2025 55
 Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Stable Economic Scenario 55
 Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario 58
 Europe Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario 59
 Natural Gas Supply Chain in China Market in 2025 60
 China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Stable Economic Scenario 60
 China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Positive Economic Scenario 63
 China Natural Gas Supply Chain to 2025 – Negative Economic Scenario 63
 Appendix 65
 Research Methodology 65
 Chronological Scope 65
 Quantification 65
 Terms 65
 Abbreviations 65
 Currencies 66
 Primary Research 66
 Research Enquiries 70
 The Business Research Company 70


List Of Tables

 Table 1 : US Proved Reserves And Changes During 2012-13 12
 Table 2: Natural Gas Plant Processing During 2010-14 13
 Table 3: Number of Gas and Gas Condensate Wells 14
 Table 4: Natural Gas Wellhead Price 16
 Table 5: Natural Gas Imports And Exports In The US 20
 Table 6: US Natural Gas Imports And Exports, A Comparison Between 2013 And 2014 22
 Table 7: Natural Gas Prices In The US From 2009 To 2014 24
 Table 8 : Price Of Natural Gas Delivered To Residential Consumers In Various US States 26
 Table 9: Dry Natural Gas Production In Europe, 2009-2013, bcf 28
 Table 10: Dry Natural Gas Consumption In Europe 30
 Table 11: Historical Average German Import Price And UK Heren NBP Index 38
 Table 12: China National Gas Production 41
 Table 13 : Pipeline Tariffs in China 45
 Table 14 : China National Gas Consumption 46


List Of Figures

 Figure 1: Historical Brent Crude Oil Spot Price($ Per Barrel) 6
 Figure 2: Historical Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price($ per Million BTU) 6
 Figure 3: World Dry Natural Gas Production By Region, Trillion Cubic Feet 1980-2010 9
 Figure 4: Gas Supply Chain 9
 Figure 5: Natural Gas Processing Plants By Capacity In The US 17
 Figure 6: Natural Gas Transmission Path In The US 18
 Figure 7: Natural Gas Pipeline Network In The US 19
 Figure 8: US Natural Gas Imports, Exports And Net Imports 1996-2014 20
 Figure 9: Price Differential Between US Natural Gas Imports And Exports 22
 Figure 10: US Import And Export Locations 23
 Figure 11: Natural Gas Prices Through The Supply Chain In The US, 2012 24
 Figure 12: Natural Gas Distribution Segments 25
 Figure 13: LNG Infrastructure And Underground Storage Facilities In Europe 32
 Figure 14: Pipeline Network In The Western European Region 34
 Figure 15: Europe’s Imports Of Natural Gas By Source 35
 Figure 16: Development of European Gas Hubs 36
 Figure 17 : Evolution Of Marketed Gas Price By Segment During 2008-12 37
 Figure 18 : Proven Geological Reserves In China, 1961-2009 39
 Figure 19 : Gas Resources In China 40
 Figure 20 : China National Gas Production 2007-2013, tcf 41
 Figure 21 : Gas Infrastructure In China 43
 Figure 22 : China’s Natural Gas Imports By Source 44
 Figure 23 : China Natural Gas Consumption, 2007-2013, tcf 46
 Figure 24 : End-Users Gas Prices In Selected Chinese Cities, 2011 47
 Figure 25: US Production of Shale Gas Projections To 2025 And Beyond 50
 Figure 26 : US Natural Gas Imports and Exports To 2025 And Beyond 51
 Figure 27: Expected Growth in Consumption of Natural Gas To 2025 And Beyond 52
 Figure 28 : Projected Use of Natural Gas in the US Transportation Sector To 2025 And Beyond 53
 Figure 29 : Europes Natural Gas Supply Sources To 2025 And Beyond 56
 Figure 30 : Natural Gas Demand Prospects in Europe To 2025 And Beyond 58
 Figure 31 : Chinas Natural Gas Supply Sources To 2025 And Beyond 61
 Figure 32 : Outlook For Natural Gas Supply In China To 2025 And Beyond 62
 Figure 33: China’s Natural Gas Consumption Mix To 2025 And Beyond 63


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Reports Details

Published Date : Aug 2015
No. of Pages :70
Country :Global
Category :Energy and Power
Publisher :The Business Research Company
Report Delivery By :Email
Report Delivery Time :12 to 24 hours after placing the order.

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