This report presents ElectroniCasts 2015-2020 market review and forecast of the consumption (value, quantity and average prices) of fiber optic chromatic dispersion compensators filter modules (DCMs) in optical communication networking; also market forecast data of the worldwide value of EDCs, DCF and DCMs is provided. Currently, the packaged filter devices (modules) are typically comprised having FBGs (Fiber Bragg Gratings) or etalon-based elements.
In this ElectroniCast market study report, we present forecasts and analysis for the following product areas:
Fixed (static) Chromatic Dispersion Compensation Filter Modules (DCMs)
Tunable Chromatic Dispersion Compensation Filter Modules (DCMs)
The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:
America (North America, Central and South America)
MEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa
APAC (Asia Pacific)
ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market research & technology forecast consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, announces the release of a new market forecast and analysis of the global market consumption and technology trends of filter-based chromatic dispersion compensator modules (DCMs), which are used in optical communication networks. Chromatic dispersion (CD) is due to an inherent property of silica optical fiber, which must be canceled for effective optical fiber communication.
Network planners are expecting to use the combination of improved fixed-type (plug-in, and in-line jumper-types) CD compensation and tunable per-channel compensators, especially when concerned with adding more channels (WDM), footprint size of the DCM and higher transfer rates, 2.5-, 10-, 40-Gbps and beyond. As optical networks move towards higher line rates and greater re-configurability, the requirements for more flexible dispersion management solutions become more stringent than ever.
There are three common device techniques to deal with chromatic dispersion in optical communication (fiber optic) networks-the use of dispersion-compensating fiber (DCF); the use of chromatic dispersion-compensating filter modules (DCMs); and electronic dispersion chips (EDCs) and photonic-based chips. Also, it is important to note that EDC can be used in conjunction with photonic-based solutions.
Fixed (static) compensation solutions are designed for specific fiber types in both the C- and L-Bands. Tunable dispersion compensation can eliminate any residual dispersion for error-free transmission at sensitive higher data rates.
Information Base for the Market Forecast
Primary Research - This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the end of October 2014. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, and other communication industries, instrumentation/laboratory - R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fiber optic link products. The interviews were conducted principally with:
Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of dispersion compensation products, optical fiber amplifiers, transceivers, as well as laser diodes and photodiodes, application-specific ICs, packages, photonic switches, wavelength converters, DWDM and CWDM filters, optical fibers and cables, substrate materials, optical waveguide and other components used in the fabrication of optoelectronic transceivers, cable assemblies and installation apparatus.
Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of optical fiber and cable, cable assemblies, connectors, installation apparatus, passive devices and transceivers, such as telecommunication transmission, switching and distribution equipment producers, data communications equipment producers (switches, hubs, routers), computer and workstation producers, weapon system, aircraft and spacecraft electronic equipment producers, optical instrumentation system producers and others.
Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
Secondary Research - A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
Professional technical journals and papers; Trade press articles
Technical conference proceedings; Product literature
Company profile and financial information
Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
Personal knowledge of the research team
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the market for passive optical components, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
Bottom-up Methodology - ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data base structure are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.
ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward communication equipment usage and economic payback.
Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy - The quantities of network switches, optical fiber/cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, VCSELs, couplers/splitters, isolators, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check."
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Chromatic Dispersion Compensation Filter Modules and Vendor Overview
1.2 Fiber Optic Networks - Overview
2. Filter-Based DCMs Forecast & Technology
2.1 Global Market Forecast, By Type and Region
2.2 Technology Review
2.3 US Patent Review
3. Chromatic Dispersion Compensation - Vendor and Technology Analysis
4. Optical Communication Trends
4.1 Fiber Network Technology Trends
4.2.2 Transmitters and Receivers
4.2.3 Optical Amplifiers
4.2.4 Dispersion Compensators
4.2.5 Fiber Cable
4.3 Devices and Parts
4.3.2 Emitters and Detectors
4.3.3 VCSEL & Transceiver Technology Review
4.3.4 Optoelectronic Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs)
4.3.7 Optoelectronic Integrated Circuits
5 Market Research Methodology
5.1 Research and Analysis Methodology
5.2 Assumptions of the Global Market Forecast
6. Definitions: Acronyms, Abbreviations, and General Terms
7. Market Forecast Data Base
Market Forecast Data Base - Excel Spreadsheets:
Market Forecast Data Figures - Power Point
List Of Tables
1.1.1 Filter Based DCM Global Forecast, By Region (Value Basis, $ Million)
1.1.2 Filter Based DCM Global Forecast, By Type (Value Basis, $ Million)
1.1.3 Filter Based DCM Global Forecast, By Type (Quantity Basis, Units/Million)
1.1.4 Filter Based DCM Global Forecast, By Type (Avg. Price/ASP, $ Each)
1.1.5 DCF vs. Filter-Based vs. EDC-Based Global Forecast ($ Million)
1.1.6 MLSE (Maximum-Likelihood Sequence Estimation)
1.1.7 Chirped Fiber Grating Chromatic Dispersion Control Method
1.1.8 Single mode Fiber Dispersion Characteristics
1.2.1 FTTP PON Architecture
1.2.2 Basic Data Center Topology
1.2.3 Multi-Tier Data Center Architecture
1.2.4 HFC Distribution System
1.2.5 Africa: Subocean Fiber Cable
1.2.6 KDDI Data Centers in Japan
1.2.7 NTT Data Centers in Asia
1.2.8 Distributed Continuous Fiber Optic Sensor System Components
2.1.1 Filter-Based DCM Global Consumption Value Forecast, by Type (Percent, %)
2.2.1 Attenuation Curve of Typical Single-mode Fiber
2.2.2 High Data Rate Transport Fiber Optic Cable
2.2.3 Singlemode Fiber Dispersion Characteristics
2.2.4 Fiber Bragg Writing System
3.1 Compact / Modular Packet Optical Networking System
3.2 FBG-Based Chromatic Dispersion Module for up to 32 Wavelengths
3.3 Dispersion Compensation Grating Filter
3.4 Patch Cord Dispersion Compensation Module
3.5 Chromatic Dispersion Compensator Module
3.6 Chromatic Dispersion Compensator Module
3.7 Chromatic Dispersion Compensator Module
4.1.1 100G CFP2 Transceiver for 40km
18.104.22.168 CWDM SFP 1G 80km Transceiver
22.214.171.124 Typical Intra-Office Interconnections
126.96.36.199 1-Port OC-768c/STM-256c Tunable WDMPOS Interface Module
188.8.131.52 40 to 60Gbps Silicon-Based Optical Modulator
184.108.40.206 Integrated silicon optical transceiver for large-volume data transmission
5.1.1 Market Research & Forecasting Methodology
List Of Figures
1.1.1 Filter-Based DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
1.2.1 OM3- and OM4-Specified Distances for Ethernet
1.2.2 Physical Layer Specifications
1.2.3 Internet Service Providers in Canada
1.2.4 Licensed Local Fixed Carriers in Hong Kong
1.2.5 Research Institutions
2.1 Filter-Based DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
2.2 Filter-Based DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Quantity Basis)
2.3 Filter-Based DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Avg Prices, $ Each)
2.4 Filter-Based/Fixed DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
2.5 Filter-Based/Fixed DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Quantity)
2.6 Filter-Based/Fixed DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Avg Prices)
2.7 Filter-Based/Tunable DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
2.8 Filter-Based/Tunable DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Quantity)
2.9 Filter-Based/Tunable DCM Global Consumption Market Forecast, By Region (Prices)
3.1 Selected Dispersion Management Solutions, By Competitor
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|Published Date||:||Oct 2015|
|No. of Pages||:||347|
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