Future of the Angolan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Future of the Angolan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Summary

The Future of the Angola Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Angolan defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The Angolan defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Angolan defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Angolan defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Angolan defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Scope

- The defense budget of Angola for the year 2017 is US$2.9 billion. For the historic period, 2013-2017, the defense budget of the country registered a CAGR of -16.98%. The defense budget is currently being driven by efforts to modernize the army, threats from terrorist organizations, and tensions in the South China Sea.
- During the historic period, the Angola MoD allocated an average of 9.7% of the total defense budget to capital expenditure, while an average of 90.3% was reserved for revenue expenditure. Over the forecast period, allocation towards capital expenditure is expected to increase at an average of 9.8%.
- The MoD is expected to invest in multi-role aircraft and naval vessels.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Angola defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of the Angola defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

1. Introduction 7
1.1. What is this Report About? 7
1.2. Definitions 7
1.3. Summary Methodology 9
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 11
2. Executive Summary 12
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 13
3.1. Current Market Scenario 14
3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception 14
3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy 15
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 16
3.1.4. Procurement Programs 20
3.1.5. Social, Political, and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 21
3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances 22
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 23
3.2.1. Angola’s defense budget is expected to surge at a CAGR of 5.60% over the forecast period 23
3.2.2. Equipment modernization is expected to drive defense expenditure 25
3.2.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to grow at the stable rate during the forecast period 26
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 28
3.3.1. Capital expenditure share of the defense budget to increase over the forecast period 28
3.3.2. Capital expenditure budget expected to increase during the forecast period 30
3.3.3. Per-capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period 32
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 34
3.4.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.80% over the forecast period 34
3.4.2. Domestic security to drive expenditure for homeland protection 36
3.4.3. Angola comes under the ‘some risk’ category of terrorist attack 37
3.4.4. Angola faces “some risk†from acts of terrorism 38
3.4.5. Angola has a terrorism index score of 0 40
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 41
3.5.1. The country’s defense budget is expected to remain modest during the forecast period 41
3.5.2. Angolan military expenditure is limited when compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure 43
3.5.3. Angola allocates a modest percentage of GDP to defense 44
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 45
3.6.1. Multi-role Aircraft 45
3.6.2. Naval Vessels 46
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 47
4.1. Import Market Dynamics 47
4.1.1. Imports into Angola expected to increase during the forecast period 47
4.1.2. Russia supplied the majority of defense equipment to Angola during the historic period 48
4.1.3. Aircraft were the major defense import during the historic period 49
4.2. Export Market Dynamics 50
4.2.1. Angola does not export arms due to its under-developed domestic arms industry 50
5. Industry Dynamics 51
5.1. Five Forces Analysis 51
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: medium to high 52
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium 52
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium 52
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high 52
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high 52
5.2. Market Regulation 53
5.2.1. Angola does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country 53
5.2.2. FDI in defense sector prohibited by the Angolan Government 53
5.2.3. Budgeting Process 54
5.2.4. Procurement Policy and Process 55
5.3. Market Entry Route 56
5.3.1. Direct selling is the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 56
5.4. Key Challenges 57
5.4.1. Corruption poses an obstacle for market entry 57
5.4.2. Low allocation to capital expenditure attracts fewer suppliers 57
6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 58
6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 58
6.2. Key Companies 59
6.2.1. Sukhoi: overview 59
6.2.2. Sukhoi: products 59
6.2.3. Sukhoi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 60
6.2.4. Sukhoi - recent contract wins 61
6.2.5. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - overview 62
6.2.6. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - major products and services 63
6.2.7. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent announcements and strategic initiatives 64
6.2.8. Oboronprom Corporation - overview 65
6.2.9. Oboronprom Corporation - major products and services 66
6.2.10. Oboronprom Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives 67
6.2.11. Oboronprom Corporation - alliances 68
7. Business Environment and Country Risk 69
7.1. Economic Performance 69
7.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita 69
7.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$ 70
7.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services 71
7.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services 72
7.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$ 73
7.1.6. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU) 74
7.1.7. Goods Exports as a % of GDP 75
7.1.8. Goods Imports as a % of GDP 76
7.1.9. Services Imports as a % of GDP 77
7.1.10. Services Exports as a % of GDP 78
7.1.11. Net Foreign Direct Investment 79
7.1.12. Net FDI as a percentage of GDP 80
7.1.13. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn) 81
8. Appendix 82
8.1. About SDI 82
8.2. Disclaimer 82

List Of Tables

Table 1: Angola Ground Forces Strength 16
Table 2: Angola Air Force Strength 18
Table 3: Angola Navy Strength 19
Table 4: Angola - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs 20
Table 5: Angola - Future Procurement Programs 20
Table 6: Angola Defense Expenditure (AOA Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022 23
Table 7: Angola GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022 26
Table 8: Angola Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022 28
Table 9: Angola Defense Capital Expenditure (AOA Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022 30
Table 10: Angola Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022 32
Table 11: Angola Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2013-2022 34
Table 12: Terrorism Index, 2017 38
Table 13: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022 41
Table 14: Angola Budget Formation Timetable 54
Table 15: Competitive Landscape of the Angola Defense Industry 58
Table 16: Sukhoi - Major Products & Services 59
Table 17: Sukhoi - Recent Contract Wins 61
Table 18: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - Major Products & Services 63
Table 19: Oboronprom Corporation - Major Products & Services 66
Table 20: Oboronprom Corporation - Alliances 68

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Angola Defense Expenditure (AOA Billion), 2013-2022 24
Figure 2: Angola Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022 24
Figure 3: Angola GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022 27
Figure 4: Angola Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022 29
Figure 5: Angola Capital Budget Allocation (AOA Billion),2013-2022 31
Figure 6: Angola Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2013 - 2022 31
Figure 7: Angola Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022 33
Figure 8: Angola Homeland Security Budget (AOA billion), 2013-2022 35
Figure 9: Angola Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2013-2022 35
Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2017 37
Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2017 40
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022 42
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2017 and 2022 43
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017 44
Figure 15: Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2020 45
Figure 16: Naval Vessels Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2018 46
Figure 17: Angola Defense Import Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values) 47
Figure 18: Angola Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016 48
Figure 19: Angola Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2012-2016 49
Figure 20: Industry Dynamics - Porter’s Five Forces Analysis 51
Figure 21: Angola GDP per capita (US$), 2015-2025 69
Figure 22: Angola Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Billion), 2015-2025 70
Figure 23: Angola Exports of goods and services (LCU Billion), 2005-2013 71
Figure 24: Angola Imports of goods and services (LCU Billion), 2005-2013 72
Figure 25: Angola LCU per US$, 2015-2024 73
Figure 26: Angola Government cash surplus/deficit as a % of GDP (LCU), 2005-2012 74
Figure 27: Angola Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 75
Figure 28: Angola Goods Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 76
Figure 29: Angola Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2013 77
Figure 30: Angola Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2002-2013 78
Figure 31: Angola Net Foreign Direct Investment (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2005-2013 79
Figure 32: Angola Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013 80
Figure 33: Angola Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn) 2005-2014 81

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