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Future of the Swedish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

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Summary

Increase in the countrys defense expenditure can be attributed to the deteriorating security situation in Europe, particularly in the wake of Russian aggression against Ukraine and Swedens efforts to increase operational war fighting capability of the armed forces. As a result, the government has decided to substantially increase defense budget for the first time in two decades. Over the forecast period, the countrys defense industry is expected to incur a cumulative spending of US$34.3 billion with most of the expenditure being directed towards the purchase of advanced defense systems, international peacekeeping missions, and research and development initiatives

Key Findings

- Over the historic period, defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 1.11%, increasing from US$6.1 billion in 2011 to US$6.4 billion in 2015

- Military expenditure, valued at US$6.6 billion in 2016, is expected to increase to US$7.2 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 2.20% over the forecast period

- Military expenditure will be driven by the threat from Russia, modernization initiatives and participation in peace keeping missions

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procure fighters and multi-role aircraft, diesel electric submarines, aviation MRO and cyber security

Synopsis

Strategic Defense Intelligences - Swedish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 report offers a detailed analysis with market size forecasts for 2016-2020. The factors that influence demand, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants are also covered.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size from 2016 -2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. A snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns are provided

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. The key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country are also detailed

- Porters five forces analysis: study the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and export dynamics: review the prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: identify the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of leading players, key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

- Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams

- Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications and the countrys expected investment pattern during 2016-2020

- Make correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the industry from 2016-2020 which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis

- Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities

- Channelize resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2016-2020

1 Introduction
 1.1. What is this Report About?
 1.2. Definitions
 1.3. Summary Methodology
 1.4. SDITerrorism Index
 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
 2 Executive Summary
 3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
 3.1. Defense Market Size, Historical and Forecast
 3.1.1. Swedish defense expenditure expected to register a CAGR of 2.20% during the forecast period
 3.1.2. Modernization initiatives, peacekeeping missions, and threat from Russia expected to fuel Swedish defense expenditure
 3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to remain at same levels during the forecast period
 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
 3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
 3.2.2. Air Force accounts for a majority of the defense budget with an average share of 37.9% over forecast period
 3.2.3. Air Force budget to reach US$2.8 billion by 2020
 3.2.4. The countrys expenditure on its Army to reach US$1.8 billion by 2020
 3.2.5. Expenditure on Navy estimated to increase at a CAGR of 3.18% over the forecast period
 3.2.6. Other expenses constitute a substantial amount of the total defense budget
 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
 3.3.1. Swedish police budget expected to increase during the forecast period
 3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by Swedens efforts to counter organized crime
 3.3.3. Threat from international terrorist organizations
 3.3.4. Sweden falls under ""Low risk"" of terrorism category
 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
 3.4.1. Swedish defense expenditure is expected to remain modest during the forecast period
 3.4.2. The countrys defense budget is moderate compared to other leading spenders
 3.4.3. Sweden allocates a lower share of GDP to defense compared to countries with significant global defense expenditure
 3.4.4. Sweden faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations
 3.4.5. Sweden emerged as the eleventh-largest global arms exporter during 2010-2014
 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
 3.5.1. Fighters and Multi-role aircraft
 3.5.2. Multi-role Aircraft MRO
 3.5.3. Diesel Electric Submarines
 3.5.4. Network Security
 4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
 4.1.1. Defense imports registered a decline during 2010-2014
 4.1.2. Sweden aims to diversify arms imports
 4.1.3. Sensors accounted for the majority of defense imports
 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
 4.2.1. Swedish defense exports tend to be inclined towards Asian and Middle-Eastern countries
 4.2.2. Sweden aims to enter non-European defense markets
 4.2.3. Aircraft account for the majority of Swedish defense exports
 5 Industry Dynamics
 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
 5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: high
 6 Market Entry Strategy
 6.1. Market Regulation
 6.1.1. Swedish offset policy facilitates defense partnerships with different countries
 6.1.2. Swedish defense industry is open to foreign direct investment
 6.2. Market Entry Route
 6.2.1. Acquisition of a domestic defense company is preferred entry route
 6.2.2. Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint research and development programs
 6.2.3. Foreign investors enter the market through direct sales
 6.3. Key Challenges
 6.3.1. Cancellation of projects due to low defense budget deters investors from entering the market
 6.3.2. The absence of multipliers in the offset policy discourages foreign suppliers
 6.3.3. Transformation from a conscript force to a professional volunteer force
 7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
 7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
 7.2.1. SAAB - Overview
 7.2.2. SAAB - Major Products and Services
 7.2.3. SAAB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.2.4. SAAB - Alliances
 7.2.5. SAAB - Recent Contract Wins
 7.2.6. SAAB - Financial Analysis
 7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
 7.3.1. BAE Systems AB - Overview
 7.3.2. BAE Systems AB - Major Products and Services
 7.3.3. BAE Systems AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.4. BAE Systems AB - Alliances
 7.3.5. BAE Systems AB - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.6. Nammo AS - Overview
 7.3.7. Nammo AS - Major Products and Services
 7.3.8. Nammo AS - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.9. Nammo AS - Alliances
 7.3.10. CybAero - Overview
 7.3.11. CybAero - Major Products and Services
 7.3.12. CybAero - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.13. CybAero - Alliances
 7.3.14. CybAero - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.15. Dynasafe AB - Overview
 7.3.16. Dynasafe AB - Major Products and Services
 7.3.17. Dynasafe AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.18. Dynasafe AB - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.19. Scanjack AB - Overview
 7.3.20. Scanjack AB - Major Products and Services
 7.3.21. Scanjack AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.22. Scanjack AB - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.23. Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Overview
 7.3.24. Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Major Products and Services
 7.3.25. Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.26. Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Alliances
 7.3.27. Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.28. Logica - Overview
 7.3.29. Logica - Major Products and Services
 7.3.30. Logica - Alliances
 7.3.31. Logica - Recent Contract Wins
 7.3.32. Niscayah - Overview
 7.3.33. Niscayah - Major Products and Services
 7.3.34. Niscayah - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
 7.3.35. Niscayah - Alliances
 7.3.36. Niscayah - Recent Contract Wins
 8 Business Environment and Country Risk
 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
 8.1.1. Total Rural Population
 8.1.2. Total Urban Population
 8.1.3. Number of Households
 8.2. Economic Performance
 8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
 8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billions)
 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billions)
 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billions)
 8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
 8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (US$ billions)
 8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
 8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
 8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per US$ (period average)
 8.2.10. Local Currency Unit per EUR (period average)
 8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billions)
 8.2.12. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
 8.2.13. Total Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion)
 8.2.14. Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
 8.2.15. Central Government Debt (LCU billion)
 8.2.16. Central Government Debt as % of GDP (LCU billion)
 8.2.17. Goods Exports as % of GDP
 8.2.18. Goods Imports as % of GDP
 8.2.19. Goods Balance as % of GDP
 8.2.20. Services Imports as % of GDP
 8.2.21. Services Exports as % of GDP
 8.2.22. Services Balance as % of GDP
 8.2.23. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billions)
 8.2.24. Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP
 8.2.25. International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billions)
 8.3. Energy and Utilities
 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
 8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
 8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
 8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
 8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
 8.3.7. Total Petroleum Consumption
 8.3.8. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
 8.4.1. Rail lines (total route), total network
 8.4.2. Overall Construction
 8.5. Minerals
 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
 8.6. Technology
 8.6.1. Patents granted
 8.7. Telecommunication
 8.7.1. Telephone Lines
 8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
 9 Appendix
 9.1. About SDI
 9.2. Disclaimer


List Of Tables

Table 1: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Table 2: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Table 3: Swedish Defense Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
 Table 4: Swedish Defense Expenditure(SEK Billion), 2016-2020
 Table 5: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
 Table 6: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
 Table 7: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
 Table 8: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
 Table 9: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
 Table 10: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
 Table 11: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Table 12: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Table 13: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Table 14: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Table 15: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Table 16: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Table 17: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Table 18: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Table 19: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Table 20: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Table 21: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Table 22: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Table 23: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Table 24: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Table 25: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Others (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Table 26: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Others (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Table 27: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million), 2011-2015
 Table 28: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million), 2016-2020
 Table 29: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
 Table 30: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2016-2020
 Table 31: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
 Table 32: SDI Terrorism Index
 Table 33: Top Country Ranking by Arms Exports, 2010-2014
 Table 34: Swedish Defense Budget Allocation, 2011-2015
 Table 35: SAAB - Major Products and Services
 Table 36: SAAB - Alliances
 Table 37: SAAB - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 38: BAE Systems AB - Major Products and Services
 Table 39: BAE Systems AB - Alliances
 Table 40: BAE Systems AB - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 41: Nammo AS - Major Products and Services
 Table 42: Nammo AS - Alliances
 Table 43: CybAero - Main Products
 Table 44: CybAero - Alliances
 Table 45: CybAero - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 46: Dynasafe AB - Main Products and Services
 Table 47: Dynasafe AB - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 48: Scanjack AB - Major Products and Services
 Table 49: Scanjack AB - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 50: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Major Products and Services
 Table 51: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Alliances
 Table 52: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 53: Logica - Major Products and Services
 Table 54: Logica - Alliances
 Table 55: Logica - Recent Contract Wins
 Table 56: Niscayah - Major Products and Services
 Table 57: Niscayah - Alliances
 Table 58: Niscayah - Recent Contract Wins


List Of Figures

Figure 1: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2011-2015
 Figure 2: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 3: Swedish Defense Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 4: Swedish Defense Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 5: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
 Figure 6: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
 Figure 7: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
 Figure 8: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
 Figure 9: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
 Figure 10: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
 Figure 11: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 12: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 13: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 14: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 15: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 16: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 17: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 18: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 19: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 20: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 21: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 22: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 23: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 24: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 25: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Others (SEK billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 26: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Others (SEK billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 27: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million),2011-2015
 Figure 28: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million), 2016-2020
 Figure 29: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
 Figure 30: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2016-2020
 Figure 31: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
 Figure 32: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
 Figure 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
 Figure 34: Benchmarking with Worlds Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
 Figure 35: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2015
 Figure 36: Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft (US$ Million), 2015-2025
 Figure 37: Multi-role Aircraft MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
 Figure 38: Diesel Electric Submarines Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
 Figure 39: Cyber Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
 Figure 40: Swedish Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
 Figure 41: Swedish Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
 Figure 42: Swedish Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2010-2014
 Figure 43: Swedish Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
 Figure 44: Swedish Defense Export Trend by Country (%), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
 Figure 45: Swedish Defense Export Trend by Weapon Category (%), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
 Figure 46: Industry Dynamics - Porters Five Forces Analysis
 Figure 47: SAAB - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2010-2014
 Figure 48: SAAB - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ million), 2010-2014
 Figure 49: SAAB - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ million), 2010-2014
 Figure 50: Swedish Rural Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
 Figure 51: Swedish Urban Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
 Figure 52: Swedish Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
 Figure 53: Swedish GDP Per Capita, 2011-2020
 Figure 54: Swedish GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2008-2017
 Figure 55: Swedish Exports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 56: Swedish Imports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 57: Swedish Gross National Disposable Income, 2002-2011
 Figure 58: Swedens Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 59: Swedish Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017
 Figure 60: Swedish Wholesale Price Index, 2002-2011
 Figure 61: Local Currency Unit per US$, 2009-2018
 Figure 62: Local Currency Unit per EUR, 2008-2017
 Figure 63: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies in Sweden (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
 Figure 64: Swedish Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
 Figure 65: Swedish Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 66: Swedish Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002-2011
 Figure 67: Swedish Central Government Debt (LCU Billion)
 Figure 68: Swedish Central Government Debt as % of GDP (LCU Billion)
 Figure 69: Swedish Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 70: Swedish Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 71: Swedish Goods Balance as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 72: Swedish Services Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 73: Swedish Services Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 74: Swedish Services Balance as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 75: Swedish Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 76: Swedish Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011
 Figure 77: Swedish International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 78: Swedish Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
 Figure 79: Swedish Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
 Figure 80: Swedens Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts Hours), 2002-2011
 Figure 81: Swedish Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
 Figure 82: Swedish Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
 Figure 83: Swedish Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
 Figure 84: Swedens Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003-2012
 Figure 85: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011
 Figure 86: Rail Lines, Total Route (Km), 2002-2011
 Figure 87: Overall Construction (US$ Million), 2007-2016
 Figure 88: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
 Figure 89: Patents Granted, 2003-2012
 Figure 90: Telephone Lines in Sweden (in Millions), 2002-2011
 Figure 91: Telephone Lines Penetration Rate in Sweden (per 100 people), 2002-2011


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Reports Details

Published Date : Oct 2015
No. of Pages :147
Country :Sweden
Category :Defense
Publisher :Strategic Defence Intelligence
Report Delivery By :Email
Report Delivery Time :12 to 24 hours after placing the order.

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